# Scott Bogman: Bogman laid out fades on Malik Nabers (knee), Kenneth Walker, Bhayshul Tuten, Christian Watson, Jackson Dart and Sam LaPorta, while liking Isaiah Likely and staying more positive on DJ Moore; he also gave his top-seven tight end board and expected Tuten to lead Jacksonville's backfield. **Claimed:** May 30, 2026 **Pundit:** Scott Bogman — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/scott-bogman **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/11-fantasy-football-busts-to-avoid-overvalued-players-early-round-draft-landmines-ep-2035 12 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls, 4 fantasy bust calls, 2 fantasy rankings and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 4. > So I'm just not gonna be rostering Christian Watson anywhere. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **A.J. Brown to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: A.J. Brown - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Chig Okonkwo to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Chig Okonkwo, Washington Commanders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (a quarterback within the top ten)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Jaxson Dart - Verdict: not settled yet - **I got a son. God, I'm Honora San Brown at number one here... So I have Lamb exactly where you guys mentioned eight overall fifth wide receiver.** - Kind: Fantasy Rankings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver nine currently ECR twenty overall)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Malik Nabers - Verdict: not settled yet - **DJ Moore to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: DJ Moore, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: not settled yet - **my top seven are McBride, Bauers, Loveland, Craft, Warren Fan and Pitts. That's how I have it.** - Kind: Fantasy Rankings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kenneth Walker III to fall short of his draft cost (running back eleven)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Dallas Goedert to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: not settled yet - **Christian Watson to fall short of his draft cost (ECR fifty seven, overall wide receiver twenty seven)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Bhayshul Tuten to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: not settled yet - **Isaiah Likely to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Isaiah Likely - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown - Chig Okonkwo — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chig-okonkwo - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Jaxson Dart — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jaxson-dart - Malik Nabers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/malik-nabers - DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dj-moore - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills - Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Dallas Goedert — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dallas-goedert - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/christian-watson - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers - Bhayshul Tuten — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bhayshul-tuten - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Isaiah Likely — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/isaiah-likely ## What others said about the same people - John Shipley on Jalen McLeod: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0) - Jeff Kerr on Maximus Pulley: Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6ec1d507-c7b6-4873-a0a2-76817706e297 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Buffalo Bills: Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/00ed9114-0e69-4e26-9fb2-4e5e3893c56e (scored 100) - Seth Walder on Kayshon Boutte: Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0263bd78-6c5c-41c5-8615-0467d8ef521a (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on A.J. Brown: Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f6c3a28-18bb-4f4d-beb5-061d863b4e28 (scored 100) - Diante Lee on A.J. Brown: A Ringer post-draft power ranking of all 32 teams for the 2026 season, ranked by how much the writer would trust each team to win the Super Bowl, with Denver picked to win the AFC, Detroit projected among the NFC's four best, and win-total calls on Pittsburgh and Miami. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d8c102e3-a8d3-4d06-bd90-4b7db78d2fa0 (scored 100) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tyler Sullivan on Deshaun Watson: An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/054d7c3e-baca-4414-b3dd-72c4eced2725 (scored 100) - Ryan Wilson on Deshaun Watson: A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ff870e69-9992-4166-aa81-9b49d6f77f55 (scored 100) - Rafael Zamorano on Deshaun Watson: Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/80cb396b-8dbf-4e39-bd65-6d25df403db1 (scored 100) - John Breech on Deshaun Watson: The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e520b2b-bf4e-4a82-9743-7cb7bc3ee125 (scored 100) - Mark Chichester on Deshaun Watson: Unsigned PFF piece reporting/asserting that Deshaun Watson will be Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback against Jacksonville, with Shedeur Sanders behind him on the depth chart. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ef347873-c28b-4a47-bb04-2488937cd3cf (scored 100) - Zachary Pereles on Deshaun Watson: The unsigned recap argues Sanders clearly outplayed Watson and, even if Sanders isn't named the Week 1 starter, predicts both quarterbacks will see significant playing time in 2026. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1b6d3216-38ff-4922-9e0a-807497573121 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=scott-bogman