# Josh Reed: After the Ravens' preseason opener win over Philadelphia, Reed argues rookie Ja'Kobi Lane has locked up the No. 3 receiver job, Jovaughn Gwyn is now the frontrunner at starting center, Durham Smythe remains the No. 2 tight end ahead of rookie Matt Hibner, Keyon Martin has all but secured a roster spot as the primary backup slot corner, and Carson Vinson is the favorite to be the swing tackle.

**Claimed:** Aug 18, 2026
**Pundit:** Josh Reed — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/josh-reed
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/ravens/onsi/6-ravens-with-soaring-stock-who-flipped-depth-charts-in-preseason-game-1-01m09d6hq435

6 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> Lane all but cemented himself as the winner of the Ravens' No. 3 receiver competition

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Keyon Martin to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Keyon Martin, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jovaughn Gwyn to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jovaughn Gwyn, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Keyon Martin to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Keyon Martin, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Carson Vinson to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Carson Vinson, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Durham Smythe to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Durham Smythe, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Ja'Kobi Lane to be 3rd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Ja'Kobi Lane, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Keyon Martin — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keyon-martin
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Jovaughn Gwyn — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jovaughn-gwyn
- Carson Vinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carson-vinson
- Durham Smythe — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/durham-smythe
- Ja'Kobi Lane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ja-kobi-lane

## What others said about the same people

- Mason Cameron on Ethan Pocic: An unsigned PFF piece ranks the NFL's top 32 centers heading into the 2026 season, with Creed Humphrey first for the fourth straight year, and names Ethan Pocic and Austin Schlottmann as the favorites to win starting center jobs in Baltimore and Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ac17490e-98b7-4d3c-9fea-750e5dc9e486 (scored 0)
- Evan Silva on Baltimore Ravens: In his 2020 fantasy defense/special teams rankings, Silva puts the Steelers first, the 49ers second and the Ravens third, citing pass rush, favorable early schedules and game scripts. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/180b1036-60e5-494b-9b4d-90b5dc3d6528 (scored 58.33)
- Jared Dubin on Baltimore Ravens: Dubin is high on the Ravens and low on the Colts, predicting a big Baltimore road win. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5255427f-f227-4e34-b350-059ecc4aa1fd (scored 100)
- Kirk Herbstreit on Baltimore Ravens: Herbstreit made a full slate of Week 1 picks — Lions, Ravens, Bears, Bills, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Titans, Eagles, Packers and Cowboys — and also said he still thinks Seattle is the team to beat in the NFC West. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5bc3755c-9b84-484f-b8f2-b18d51a12261 (scored 100)
- AJ Hawk on Baltimore Ravens: AJ Hawk picked the Ravens over the Colts, Carolina to beat Chicago outright, the Bills at Houston, the Bengals over Tampa Bay, the Titans over the Jets, the Raiders over Miami, the Packers at Minnesota and the Cowboys over the Giants. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74f9146c-d27f-4851-b8a4-4103d043308f (scored 100)
- Jordan Dajani on Baltimore Ravens: Dajani picks the Rams over the 49ers, Texans over Bills, Ravens over Colts, Bengals over Buccaneers, Vikings over Packers, Cowboys over Giants and Broncos over Chiefs in Week 1, with exact scores. He also predicts the Bills win the AFC East, the Cowboys win their division, and Caleb Downs wins Defensive Rookie of the Year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f6565d23-03db-4e60-a574-21a0b86dafb0 (scored 66.67)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0)
- Ralph Vacchiano on Tua Tagovailoa: Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f782be9-64d3-47cf-b054-6566e14194d6 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Michael Penix Jr.: In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/968b3764-11ef-41b5-a370-ff570b3219d1 (scored 0)
- Mike Florio on Shedeur Sanders: Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=josh-reed
