# TJ Jefferson: Jefferson picks Washington to win the NFC East with the Giants last, and takes the Chiefs to beat the Packers in Super Bowl 60.

**Claimed:** Sep 4, 2025
**Pundit:** TJ Jefferson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tj-jefferson
**Outlet:** The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP3696068850.mp3?updated=1757016484

5 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 division winner, 1 power ranking and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 20 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I got the Eagles at two, and I got the Washington football team winning this division.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Washington Commanders to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **I got the Giants fourth. I'm putting the Cowboys third. I got the Eagles at two, and I got the Washington football team winning this division.**
  - Kind: Power Rankings · About: Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers

## What others said about the same people

- Mike Kadlick on Green Bay Packers: Kadlick expects an ugly, low-scoring Thursday night game at Lambeau Field, with Green Bay beating Atlanta 10–7 to move to 2–1 while the Falcons drop to 0–3 in Michael Penix Jr.'s return. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e80b2d86-5533-4a14-b40a-9de75d1883bc (scored 7.14)
- Jared Dubin on Green Bay Packers: Dubin picks the Packers to beat the Falcons comfortably on Thursday Night Football, predicting a 23-13 Green Bay win. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d0957a4-4d45-4f24-b6f9-a848eb47a374 (scored 23.81)
- Jordan Dajani on Green Bay Packers: Dajani gave final-score predictions for eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Buccaneers (upset), Ravens, Broncos (upset) and Eagles to win. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c96aaa6d-2d0c-41cc-a9f7-c21ac21886ac (scored 16.67)
- Jared Dubin on Green Bay Packers: Dubin gave final-score predictions for the same eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Vikings, Ravens, Rams and Eagles. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fe04828a-d532-414c-a58a-54f6505f2263 (scored 23.81)
- Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c2102f61-711d-4041-af08-065e95ccaf03 (scored 0)
- Tyler Sullivan on Green Bay Packers: Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 3 game, including a Bills blowout of the reeling Chargers, a Chiefs rout in Miami, a Seahawks win over a Mariota-led Washington, and the Saints beating the Raiders in their home opener. He also expects Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Jaxson Dart all to be sidelined in Week 3, with Marcus Mariota starting for Washington. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e4b11b44-d359-4027-a72c-87833f5ff6e3 (scored 11.9)

## More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Brockman on Seattle Seahawks: Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7755a3be-efa7-417e-aefe-47d37d5fb067 (scored 100)
- Damonza Byrd on Seattle Seahawks: The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c59694cc-b2ff-401f-ae64-3313b822cd5a (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on New England Patriots: The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5d16f975-ba4e-46f4-8717-8962b81c5bdf (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Denver Broncos: Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/afd8c9a0-6068-4bfc-8dac-3bcc196f1231 (scored 50)
- AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70ca2972-53a1-4559-bd03-94c5fede2f4e (scored 50)
- Derek Murphy on Seattle Seahawks: Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a5f623b2-e1e6-4687-b345-df2d9f35641f (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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