# Dirk Koetter: Koetter's ballot: Josh Allen MVP, Allen also for Offensive Player of the Year, T.J. Watt DPOY, Chris Olave OROY, Sauce Gardner DROY, Jameis Winston Comeback Player and Sean McDermott Coach of the Year.

**Claimed:** Sep 6, 2022
**Pundit:** Dirk Koetter — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dirk-koetter
**Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/analysis/2022-nfl-awards-predictions-mvp-rookies-of-the-year-and-more/

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 14.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

## The claims

- **Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Sean McDermott to win Coach of the Year**
  - Kind: Coach Award Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Josh Allen to win Offensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Chris Olave to win Offensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **T.J. Watt to win Defensive Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: T.J. Watt, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Sauce Gardner to win Defensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Sauce Gardner, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jameis Winston to win Comeback Player of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-allen
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chris-olave
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints
- T.J. Watt — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/t-j-watt
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Sauce Gardner — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sauce-gardner
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Jameis Winston — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jameis-winston

## What others said about the same people

- Nick Wright on Buffalo Bills: Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/00ed9114-0e69-4e26-9fb2-4e5e3893c56e (scored 100)
- Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0)
- Jake Ciely on Romeo Doubs: On a Fantasy Pros free-agency show, Jake Seely gave his projected 2026 landing spots for a long list of free agents, including Aaron Rodgers to Minnesota, Daniel Jones back to Indianapolis, Malik Willis to Miami, Alec Pierce to the Raiders, Mike Evans to the 49ers, Deebo Samuel to Pittsburgh, Kenneth Walker to Arizona, Breece Hall to Kansas City and Kyle Pitts and Dallas Goedert re-signing with their current teams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9c205f56-6491-4dfc-8372-f92cf488d31f (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Makai Lemon: Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 (scored 95.76)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Breece Hall: Rosenthal calls the Chiefs the No. 1 favorite and says they are going to the Super Bowl. He also expects several players to be moved before the trade deadline, most confidently David Njoku, and views Riq Woolen and Breece Hall as likely trade pieces. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5efb7598-25cf-4279-b377-dc24dd59894e (scored 0)
- Jason McIntyre on Aaron Rodgers: McIntyre liked Cowherd's card, flagged the Jets and Chargers as potential upsets/strong teams, said the Chargers could reach the AFC Championship game, and declared Aaron Rodgers will miss the playoffs this year and retire in the offseason. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fc0c43b5-a4a3-4dc1-829b-f07a813854f2 (scored 100)

## More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Gregg Rosenthal on Tristan Wirfs: Rosenthal picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Micah Parsons for Defensive Player of the Year, Jahmyr Gibbs for Offensive Player of the Year, Aaron Glenn for Coach of the Year, Travis Hunter for both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year, Bill Callahan for Assistant Coach of the Year and Tristan Wirfs for Protector of the Year. He also made depth-chart calls on Adam Thielen and Jalen Coker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/88928365-78fb-4f7b-84a4-0dd7856ba9cc (scored 0)
- Jourdan Rodrigue on Penei Sewell: Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f3ba94ea-a935-4534-88e4-bb6027bf87ad (scored 0)
- Brandon Sneide on Drake Maye: Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1cf83e90-e59f-4c8f-941f-c732efcb4c03 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Rashid Shaheed: Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1fe4abc6-28e3-412b-ab6e-d2f65f25682f (scored 0)
- Chris Broussard on Cooper Kupp: Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1247ee30-3338-4940-8fc9-977cc215ff59 (scored 0)
- Eric Mangini on Drake Maye: Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/332dce8c-f71c-4f26-a976-8f4615a9f9bd (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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