# Derek Brown: Brown says he is lower than consensus on Lamar Jackson and will not draft him in 2026 unless he slips well past his current ADP, arguing the price bakes in a QB1 finish that is far from certain.

**Claimed:** Aug 25, 2026
**Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/derek-brown
**Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fantasypros
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/08/fantasy-football-the-case-against-lamar-jackson-2026/

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.

> I won’t discourage anyone for taking the swing on Jackson in any draft, but I won’t be in 2026 unless he slips quite far past his current ADP.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Lamar Jackson to fall short of his draft cost (his current ADP)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Lamar Jackson
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Lamar Jackson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/lamar-jackson

## What others said about the same people

- Rich Eisen on Lamar Jackson: Eisen predicted road teams would go 4-2 on wild card weekend, with only the Patriots and Eagles winning at home — which leaves the Rams, Packers, Bills and Texans winning on the road. He also expects Lamar Jackson back with the Ravens. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d6d00722-9a23-4c26-8a57-995279881e38 (scored 100)
- Chris Broussard on Lamar Jackson: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Lamar Jackson: Eisen pushed back on several takes: he doubts the Chiefs make the playoffs this year, agrees the Bills as a 5 seed can win a road playoff game, thinks New England wins the AFC East, expects Carolina to sweep Tampa Bay and win the NFC South, says Lamar Jackson is not a top-10 quarterback this year, sees the Ravens still able to win the AFC North at 8-9, and names Christian McCaffrey the Offensive Player of the Year front-runner. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c1629080-72cf-41b6-b276-22183b1f396c (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on Lamar Jackson: Eisen argued the Lions have the grit, smarts and personnel to win the NFC and reach the Super Bowl, predicted Josh Allen wins MVP, and laid out his projected MVP top five with Jared Goff finishing third and Joe Burrow sneaking into the group alongside Saquon Barkley and Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c9ff4c50-9131-42b8-b98f-b012694250d0 (scored 0)
- Chris Brockman on Lamar Jackson: Brockman argued Michael Penix will lead Atlanta to a playoff win and that the Falcons will win the NFC South, that the Vikings are the league's best team, that MVP is a two-horse race he leans toward Lamar Jackson, and that the Chiefs — flaws and all — will win the AFC and reach the Super Bowl in New Orleans. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cad78246-6637-4691-a50f-d92c93dcaa88 (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on Lamar Jackson: Hosting the early 2026 ranks debate, Pizapia said he would move a healthy Lamar Jackson up to the No. 2 fantasy quarterback spot, ahead of Drake May. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/817050ec-b71f-43ac-9159-a8af4a6335f7 (scored 0)

## More fantasy bust calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wormeli on Zay Flowers: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 0)
- Chris Welsh on Austin Ekeler: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Joe Pisapia on Rashee Rice: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Breece Hall: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0)
- Simon Hunter on Tetairoa McMillan: Simon is drafting Ashton Jeanty in the late first/early second and is comfortable taking him in the first round, is all-in on DeVonta Adams with the Rams, and calls Puka Nacua one of the most overdrafted players who should not be taken in the first round. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/15f74c4e-cd8f-455b-b84f-e4098e767a84 (scored 100)
- Sean Kerner on Travis Hunter: Kerner's top move is Travis Hunter to Jacksonville, though he calls Hunter's WR30 price a bit rich given usage uncertainty. He is all-in on Ashton Jeanty as a workhorse with top-five rookie upside, likes Ben Johnson's arrival for Caleb Williams and rookie TE Colston Loveland, expects DeVonta Adams to boost Matthew Stafford's touchdown total over 22.5, and is heavily drafting Jayden Higgins as Houston's No. 2 receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ec510a56-f0ae-4583-8e26-5b031d8d6d10 (scored 0)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=derek-brown