# Nick Shook: In a 20-pick draft of the best running backs for 2025, Nick Shook used his ten selections (overall picks 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19) on Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Josh Jacobs, Christian McCaffrey, James Cook, Jonathan Taylor, Alvin Kamara, Joe Mixon, De'Von Achane and David Montgomery. He also predicted Derrick Henry would top 1,000 rushing yards again as Baltimore's bell cow.

**Claimed:** Jun 23, 2025
**Pundit:** Nick Shook — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-shook
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/top-20-nfl-running-backs

3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 player season number and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 61.8 out of 100, against 64.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I'm going with sa Kwan Barkley, simple as that.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Derrick Henry to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Derrick Henry to record 1,000 rushing yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 25.39 out of 100, against 44.19 for a naive guess
- **Nick Shook's picks in the running back draft: 1st Saquon Barkley, 3rd Derrick Henry, 5th Josh Jacobs, 7th Christian McCaffrey, 9th James Cook, 11th Jonathan Taylor, 13th Alvin Kamara, 15th Joe Mixon, 17th De'Von Achane, 19th David Montgomery.**
  - Kind: Top Player Lists
  - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Derrick Henry — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/derrick-henry
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Baltimore Ravens: Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/29185ff4-dec4-498f-aa45-4ca2d72dcbe3 (scored 35.71)
- John Hendricks on Baltimore Ravens: John Hendricks picked Baltimore to win 23-17, predicted Derrick Henry would score two touchdowns, called for Devon Vale's first career 100-yard receiving game, and bought Chris Olave topping 1,300 receiving yards. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/22cb903f-acc6-4b67-8b16-37759beac69f (scored 47.62)
- Darrion Gray on Baltimore Ravens: Darion Gray picked the Ravens to beat the Saints 28-20 and predicted Chris Olave would post a second straight 100-yard receiving game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/94aa3be8-5be5-48d2-8072-b0728b59bc8b (scored 47.62)
- Lance Moore on Baltimore Ravens: Lance Moore predicted the Saints would again score around 30 points but lose a high-scoring game in Baltimore, 35-31. He also bought Chris Olave going over 1,300 receiving yards in 2026, said Zay Flowers would play until officially ruled out, and suggested the Titans would be a roughly two-win team. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b17e3998-a75a-43ef-aed0-27afc218817b (scored 42.86)
- Jared Dubin on Baltimore Ravens: Dubin gives winners and scores for the same seven games, favoring the Bills, Patriots, Ravens, Texans, Broncos, Chiefs and Rams, though he expects several of them to stay close. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9fc610de-6a6c-43c4-af7c-4c00c056d117 (scored 50)
- Jordan Dajani on Baltimore Ravens: Dajani picks winners and exact scores for seven Week 2 games, taking the Bills over the Lions in a shootout, the Patriots narrowly over the Steelers, the Ravens over the Saints, the Texans over the Bengals, the Jaguars upsetting the Broncos, the Chiefs over the Colts and the Rams over the Giants. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/655e3b13-48e3-4472-8e72-6742885b4641 (scored 42.86)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Matt Severance on Deshaun Watson: The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/944568ce-7205-409f-8354-a392016fd8bf (scored 100)
- Rafael Zamorano on Deshaun Watson: Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d7d7e0a2-61e0-4525-970b-b01a2356f11b (scored 100)
- Rich Hribar on Tua Tagovailoa: Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/124ac755-a942-4382-8bad-177da7f8170d (scored 0)
- Bradley Locker on Carson Wentz: PFF's unsigned adjusted power rankings after Week 1 of the 2026 season place the Bills first, the Rams second and the Dolphins last, with notes on quarterback situations in Seattle, Minnesota and Cleveland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a3716f21-0488-4fc8-a414-c25c2d781a6e (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Michael Penix Jr.: In a Week 1 recap with no named byline, CBS Sports suggested Michael Penix Jr. would take over as Atlanta's Week 2 starter if healthy, called Ashton Jeanty's sophomore breakout imminent, and warned readers not to overlook San Francisco as NFC West winners. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1000d8d0-5de1-405e-b8ce-255cde75a32d (scored 0)
- Bill Huber on Chris McClellan: Huber's first Packers rookie progress report projects second-round cornerback Brandon Cisse to hold onto his spot with the No. 1 defense, third-round defensive tackle Chris McClellan to start in Week 1, and fifth-round lineman Jager Burton to be the team's top interior backup rather than a starter. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dcf9daae-b511-490c-b438-173cf91e8597 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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