# Jake Ciely: Seely gives his own early 2026 running back board — Bijan and Gibbs on top, McCaffrey third (seventh overall), Kyren Williams tenth, Jeanty 11th and Chase Brown 12th — while ranking Skattebo, Dowdle, Pollard, Hubbard and Tucker below consensus. He also insists Kyren Williams remains a top-ten back, expects Skattebo to lead the Giants backfield and expects Rico Dowdle to leave Carolina.

**Claimed:** Feb 21, 2026
**Pundit:** Jake Ciely — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jake-ciely
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-fantasy-football-running-back-rankings-and-tiers-ep-1967

4 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking, 1 positional finishe and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 86.6 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I am one hundred percent in agreement that Kyle Williams still deserves to be a top ten running back until further notice.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **So I have Bejeon and Gibbs, Tier, McCaffrey, Taylor, a Chan, Cook, Hampton, Berkley, Henry... ECR is sixteen, but you have him at ten [Kyren]... you have him a little lower. You have an eleven [Jeanty]... you've got at RB twelve [Chase Brown]... Jake, you've got him a twenty six [Skattebo]... you've got him at thirty three [Dowdle]... you have Tony Pollard here at thirty eight... Chewba Hubbard ECR thirty two. You've got him all the way forty two... he's ECR sixty one, but you've got him at fifty five [Sean Tucker]**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 93.26 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Cam Skattebo, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess
- **Kyren Williams to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess
- **Rico Dowdle to move**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Rico Dowdle
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Cam Skattebo — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cam-skattebo
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Kyren Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kyren-williams
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Rico Dowdle — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rico-dowdle

## What others said about the same people

- Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e613e391-ce67-4554-a115-59096e1fecfd (scored 50)
- Dan Orlovsky on Los Angeles Rams: Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/35fbf38d-85b0-4e52-b089-d8d9b6858e46 (scored 100)
- Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picked the Rams to beat the Giants 27-17 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ddd6b22a-35e3-4d39-bbda-13fab6705e64 (scored 71.43)
- Pete Prisco on Los Angeles Rams: Prisco picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-14. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1c7b3a7f-651c-4ca3-987c-81b5499efbc7 (scored 85.71)
- Jordan Dajani on Los Angeles Rams: Dajani picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-21. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0ee2d609-d044-481e-a8a3-627c7fbc89e7 (scored 69.05)
- John Breech on Los Angeles Rams: Breech expects Caleb Williams to return quickly from his hamstring injury, at the latest by Week 4 against the Jets or Week 5 against the Packers, and he picked the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday night. He also floated the Saints as a potential surprise team this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66fd2840-c785-4c7f-9284-eb570c4dd0c4 (scored 54.76)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Matt Severance on Deshaun Watson: The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/944568ce-7205-409f-8354-a392016fd8bf (scored 100)
- Rafael Zamorano on Deshaun Watson: Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d7d7e0a2-61e0-4525-970b-b01a2356f11b (scored 100)
- Rich Hribar on Tua Tagovailoa: Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/124ac755-a942-4382-8bad-177da7f8170d (scored 0)
- Bradley Locker on Carson Wentz: PFF's unsigned adjusted power rankings after Week 1 of the 2026 season place the Bills first, the Rams second and the Dolphins last, with notes on quarterback situations in Seattle, Minnesota and Cleveland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a3716f21-0488-4fc8-a414-c25c2d781a6e (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Michael Penix Jr.: In a Week 1 recap with no named byline, CBS Sports suggested Michael Penix Jr. would take over as Atlanta's Week 2 starter if healthy, called Ashton Jeanty's sophomore breakout imminent, and warned readers not to overlook San Francisco as NFC West winners. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1000d8d0-5de1-405e-b8ce-255cde75a32d (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashod Bateman: In his Week 2 waiver wire column, Fitzmaurice recommends a slate of pickups he expects to outperform their current rostership (Kaelon Black, Deebo Samuel, Tyler Shough, Geno Smith and others), lays out several depth-chart expectations (Black as the 49ers' No. 2 back, Shedeur Sanders eventually taking over in Cleveland, Penix returning for Atlanta), and flags Fool's Gold/drop candidates such as Mike Gesicki, Kendrick Bourne and Rashid Shaheed. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6218d3c2-61e7-4ace-9976-b51eeefdf22c (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=jake-ciely
