# Chad Millman: Going through the 2026 NFL win totals, Milman took the over on Buffalo, Carolina, Atlanta, Washington, Dallas, Denver and Houston, and expects Tua to open as Atlanta's starting quarterback.

**Claimed:** Mar 19, 2026
**Pundit:** Chad Millman — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chad-millman
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/sharp-or-square/nfl-season-win-totals-part-2

8 checkable claims — 7 season win totals and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 8 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 6.

> Denver nine and a half, I'll take the over.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Carolina Panthers to finish with 6.5 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Washington Commanders to finish with 7.5 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Houston Texans to finish with 9.5 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8.5 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Atlanta Falcons to finish with 7.5 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tua Tagovailoa, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Tua Tagovailoa — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tua-tagovailoa

## What others said about the same people

- Fox Sports on Michael Penix Jr.: Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a90e69a8-707f-43e9-a63e-cdb3e7bd0829 (scored 100)
- David Harrison on Tim Settle: Harrison gives his initial 53-man roster projection for the Washington Commanders: three quarterbacks including Ethan Kalyak Manus, three running backs, four tight ends, six receivers (leaving off De'Ami Brown and Jaden Bradley), nine offensive linemen with Matt Goldman at center, and a defense of six linebackers but only four cornerbacks. He also projects Tunstall and Newton going to IR on Monday with De'Ami Brown and Dietrich Wise re-signed, plus a corner-heavy practice squad. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1d5b2565-5531-47ac-bff8-ccb9b23a980a (scored 100)
- Randy Gurzi on Ar'maj Reed-Adams: Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/95db61d4-3514-4d17-aa02-ed56a31ecabf (scored 0)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Curtis Robinson: Building his projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d20c4eda-eab4-4a8c-ba13-0e120fdd7d91 (scored 0)
- Jared Koch on Nico Collins: Koch projects the Texans' wide receiver depth chart after Jayden Higgins' season-ending injury, naming Nico Collins, Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel as starters, listing backups and roster locks, and predicting Collins tops his 2025 receiving marks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74bc29c1-a3ec-4b20-bd4a-2766759c439b (scored 100)
- Bob Morris on J.K. Dobbins: Morris predicts Jarrett Stidham holds the backup QB job behind Bo Nix, Adam Prentice makes the 53-man roster as the fullback/fourth back, and Lucas Krull gets cut. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fbd4f215-eaf5-4bff-9431-d661656ff28a (scored 100)

## More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ec43b02b-8e3a-4b2e-8c36-1839c9c52e3c (scored 40)
- Nick Wright on New England Patriots: Nick Wright walked through the Browns' quarterback situation and then gave leans and bets on every AFC team's win total, offering concrete win-count expectations for several clubs plus a call on Brock Bowers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e745abb-ae8f-4f8c-893e-bfb5d53589b1 (scored 20)
- John Middlekauff on San Francisco 49ers: Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/af06c2e6-9beb-4a7e-b444-620680dbccd1 (scored 60)
- Colin Cowherd on New England Patriots: Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e32a708a-5651-4292-b71b-672f2216a48e (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Los Angeles Chargers: Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cc9d1905-c3e9-4d7f-8dbb-0f840dbb7535 (scored 80)
- Richard Sherman on Detroit Lions: Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fd0cf59d-3729-4865-8641-02792d0b6b24 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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