# Jake Ciely: Seeley has dropped Kenneth Walker to RB18 rest-of-season, keeps Breece Hall around RB20 and argues Travis Etienne belongs back in RB2 territory or better, views Egbuka as only a back-end WR2 to sell high on, and thinks Philadelphia matches up too well with Kansas City.

**Claimed:** Sep 13, 2025
**Pundit:** Jake Ciely — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jake-ciely
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/week-2-lineup-advice-starts-sleepers-sits-player-debates-and-td-calls-ep-1703

5 checkable claims — 4 positional finishes and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 86.1 out of 100, against 44.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I moved them all the way down to RB eighteen.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Breece Hall to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Breece Hall, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Kenneth Walker III to finish top 18 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 33.33 for a naive guess
- **Philadelphia Eagles to beat Chiefs**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Tetairoa McMillan to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Tetairoa McMillan, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: too vague to check
- **Travis Etienne to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Travis Etienne, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: too vague to check

## Who this take is about

- Breece Hall — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/breece-hall
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Tetairoa McMillan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tetairoa-mcmillan
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Travis Etienne — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/travis-etienne
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars

## What others said about the same people

- John Shipley on Jalen McLeod: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0)
- Jeff Kerr on Maximus Pulley: Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6ec1d507-c7b6-4873-a0a2-76817706e297 (scored 0)
- Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on A.J. Brown: Eisen delivered his SoFi-presented power rankings of the 2026 NFL draftees most likely to live up to their billing, counting down from Mekhi Lemmon at No. 10 to Jeremiah Love at No. 1. He also predicted the Eagles will trade A.J. Brown and picked three NFC South teams to go over their win totals. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/44917560-fe2f-453a-a274-edd5059b1c1c (scored 100)
- Danny Parkins on Trey Hendrickson: Parkins predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall to the Raiders, Trey Hendrickson signs in Tampa, Michael Penix Jr. wins Atlanta's QB competition, Jared Wilson takes over at center in New England, Mike Evans reaches 1,000 yards, and the Bears lose Byard and Brisker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ca8ddcc3-733b-4a44-92b9-b90577e59c9c (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Cashius Howell: Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 (scored 32.42)

## More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Rich Hribar on Matthew Stafford: Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9d1e15ad-f96d-457c-ad9f-25882182e28b (scored 100)
- Chris Brockman on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c47d130c-5598-4cd0-b546-1121046b9166 (scored 100)
- Ryan Tracy on Bryan Cook: Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/18bb787c-4f93-4c95-b8c2-02daeeffe823 (scored 0)
- Pat Gustavson on Bijan Robinson: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/06884586-5b21-40c8-9439-e303a3e8a806 (scored 75)
- JP Acosta on Bijan Robinson: JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/660e3494-2b0b-415e-beb7-9e3bf3464e30 (scored 75)
- Rich Eisen on George Pickens: Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2b6828d6-b24c-4c65-ac95-56bf45c4ebf7 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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