# Jared Koch: Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. He also sees Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers he calls virtual locks.

**Claimed:** Aug 25, 2026
**Pundit:** Jared Koch — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jared-koch
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/texans/onsi/biggest-winners-and-losers-of-texans-kayshon-boutte-trade

8 checkable claims — 5 roster spot calls, 2 depth chart calls and 1 sleeper call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> The makings truly could be there for Boutte to have a career season in Houston, and win a ton of games while he's at it.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Sterling Shepard to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Sterling Shepard, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Justin Watson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Justin Watson, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Zay Jones to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Zay Jones, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tank Dell to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tank Dell, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kayshon Boutte to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kayshon Boutte, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **C.J. Stroud to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Lewis Bond to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Lewis Bond, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kamari Ramsey to be 4th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kamari Ramsey, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Sterling Shepard — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sterling-shepard
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Justin Watson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/justin-watson
- Zay Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/zay-jones
- Tank Dell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tank-dell
- Kayshon Boutte — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kayshon-boutte
- C.J. Stroud — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/c-j-stroud
- Lewis Bond — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/lewis-bond
- Kamari Ramsey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kamari-ramsey

## What others said about the same people

- Seth Walder on Kayshon Boutte: Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0263bd78-6c5c-41c5-8615-0467d8ef521a (scored 0)
- Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0)
- John Breech on Houston Texans: Breech picks the Texans to upset the Bills in Houston, trusting Houston's defense to smother Josh Allen, and takes the Raiders to beat the Dolphins by at least a touchdown. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9da8cc61-bdc3-40fd-bd7f-c02c99fe7b00 (scored 0)
- Judah Fortgang on Houston Texans: PFF's divisional-round same-game parlay picks: Tampa Bay beats Cincinnati with Cade Otton exploiting the Bengals' linebackers, Las Vegas beats Miami behind Kirk Cousins attacking a depleted Dolphins secondary, and Houston beats Buffalo with C.J. Stroud throwing effectively and Jaylin Noel benefiting from the slot matchup. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3c975cce-7d78-48c7-95ad-f5d06adbf4a8 (scored 0)
- Judah Fortgang on Houston Texans: An unsigned PFF betting piece argues Cooper Rush will struggle against Pittsburgh's disruption pressure in Week 1, and that Buffalo's rebuilt secondary without Sean McDermott will be exploitable by C.J. Stroud, leading them to back Houston winning through the air. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1c4105a4-26a0-4592-b314-eacdc44833e9 (scored 0)
- Simon Hunter on Houston Texans: Hunter picked Houston and the Giants as underdog money line plays, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and Detroit as favorites, and used Pittsburgh plus the Chargers as his survivor picks for week one. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5ac46502-b65b-469b-befc-16fbc672b011 (scored 0)

## More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- John Shipley on Jack Kiser: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0)
- Cody Rourke on Mitchell Fraboni: Rourke names the Ravens as the bounce-back team most likely to be dangerous in the AFC again, and says Houston's defense alone should carry the Texans into the postseason. He also expects long snapper Mitchell Fraboni to be one of Denver's practice-squad elevations for the Chiefs game, and slots Pat Bryant as Denver's third receiver behind Courtland Sutton and Jaylen Waddle. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ecf0b4d8-7096-41e4-b8bd-f37d5cdcd8d5 (scored 0)
- Sayre Bedinger on Adam Prentice: Benninger expects Houston's elite defense to make them either a division winner or a wild card team, thinks Marvin Mims was trending toward being Denver's fourth receiver rather than just the return man, and figures Adam Prentice will be the Broncos' other practice-squad call-up. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ac244b64-ba35-48be-bad9-b54ef4f4fcfc (scored 0)
- Bob Morris on Adam Prentice: Morris predicts Jarrett Stidham holds the backup QB job behind Bo Nix, Adam Prentice makes the 53-man roster as the fullback/fourth back, and Lucas Krull gets cut. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fbd4f215-eaf5-4bff-9431-d661656ff28a (scored 100)
- Erick Trickel on Adam Prentice: After the Broncos' preseason opener, Trickel argued fullback Adam Prentice has shown enough value to earn a spot on the 53-man roster ahead of the team's fourth running back options (Jaleel McLaughlin, Tyler Badie, Cody Schrader). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3b8bcd8c-c4ab-4a02-9bb6-39d20cae9d37 (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Aaron Donald: Shook unveiled his first NFL power rankings of the year, putting the Rams first, the Broncos second and the defending champion Seahawks only third, with the Dolphins last. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ea18c6ec-7662-4e66-91ed-4d0ef9d7d97d (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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