# Simon Hunter: Simon Hunter's biggest bet in the NFC South is the Saints to win the division, calling the plus-260 price great value; he expects the Panthers to land at eight or nine wins again and rates the Buccaneers' and Saints' offensive lines among the league's best, while viewing Baker Mayfield as a top-10-to-15 quarterback.

**Claimed:** Jul 31, 2026
**Pundit:** Simon Hunter — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/simon-hunter
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/sharp-or-square/nfc-south-betting-preview

5 checkable claims — 2 position group rankings, 1 division winner, 1 positional finishe and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> This is my biggest bat by four in this division is on the plus two to seventy plus two sixty where you can find on this team to win this division.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **They have have them great as my fifth best offensive line.**
  - Kind: Position Group Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Baker Mayfield to finish top 15 at his position, by passing yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: too vague to check
- **Carolina Panthers to finish with ? wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **They've I really addressed the offensive line could be another offense lines in the top five.**
  - Kind: Position Group Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **New Orleans Saints to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Baker Mayfield — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/baker-mayfield
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Brockman on Baker Mayfield: Brockman's season-preview overreactions: Fernando Mendoza becomes an Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist; Dak Prescott wins MVP and the Cowboys win the Super Bowl; Jesse Minter's Ravens win the AFC North; C.J. Stroud leads Houston to the AFC's No. 1 seed; Jonathan Taylor approaches 2,000 rushing yards; Baker Mayfield wins the NFC South, goes 12-5 and reaches the NFC title game while landing a $60 million-per-year deal; and Aaron Rodgers throws 35-plus touchdowns as the Steelers go 11-6 and win the North. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d508736e-a824-4fa0-854c-df4ebdd9ef02 (scored 100)
- Jon Gruden on Baker Mayfield: The former Buccaneers head coach predicted that Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield are closer on a new contract than believed and that an extension will get done. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10bb8ff2-886c-488e-b693-fb4ea9dd5880 (scored 100)
- Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 100)
- Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Trey Hendrickson: Parkins predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall to the Raiders, Trey Hendrickson signs in Tampa, Michael Penix Jr. wins Atlanta's QB competition, Jared Wilson takes over at center in New England, Mike Evans reaches 1,000 yards, and the Bears lose Byard and Brisker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ca8ddcc3-733b-4a44-92b9-b90577e59c9c (scored 0)
- Judah Fortgang on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: PFF's divisional-round same-game parlay picks: Tampa Bay beats Cincinnati with Cade Otton exploiting the Bengals' linebackers, Las Vegas beats Miami behind Kirk Cousins attacking a depleted Dolphins secondary, and Houston beats Buffalo with C.J. Stroud throwing effectively and Jaylin Noel benefiting from the slot matchup. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3c975cce-7d78-48c7-95ad-f5d06adbf4a8 (scored 0)

## More position group rankings

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Gregg Rosenthal: In a snake draft of the NFL's best position groups, Rosenthal took the Eagles' tackles as the No. 1 group in the league, followed by the Steelers' edge rushers, Bengals receivers, Texans corners, Lions safeties, Rams defensive tackles, Broncos corners, Chiefs quarterbacks, Patriots corners and Seahawks defensive tackles. He also rated Ja'Marr Chase a top-two receiver and A.J. Brown a top-five receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5539f810-db04-4de0-bf1f-5e3006379250 (scored 75)
- Nick Shook: Shook's picks in the best-position-group draft: Buccaneers receivers (over the Bengals), Lions tackles, Ravens tight ends, Steelers interior offensive line, Lions running backs, Giants edge rushers, Ravens safeties, Commanders quarterbacks, Lions defensive tackles and Texans safeties. He also called Jordan Addison one of the league's best No. 2 receivers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/eefce1fd-b4db-4466-b850-79c0f88969a9 (scored 0)
- Brandon Graham: Graham ranked his top five wide receiver duos with the Eagles first, and predicted Philadelphia returns to the Super Bowl, the Rams make the playoffs again, and picked the Commanders' duo over the Cowboys' new pairing. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a054e705-4e72-4c3f-b475-95b2643e8699 (scored 0)
- Kyle Brandt: Kyle Brandt ranked his top five NFL wide receiver duos, deliberately excluding newly formed pairings, with Cincinnati first and Tampa Bay fifth. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/88c49d42-2a19-4ded-807c-4ac54bece76b (scored 40)
- Jamie Erdahl on Los Angeles Rams: Erdahl ranked her top five wide receiver duos, putting Philadelphia first, Detroit above Minnesota, and Cincinnati fifth. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/331b284f-f71c-4588-9b70-948bf0e82147 (scored 80)
- Isaiah Stanback: Stanback ranked his top five wide receiver duos, with Cincinnati first, Miami second and Philadelphia fifth, and also placed the Lions atop their division. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cc8c795d-9d53-402a-a460-42c830ca2977 (scored 25)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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