# Marcus Mosher: Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst. **Claimed:** Sep 3, 2024 **Pundit:** Marcus Mosher — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marcus-mosher **Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/2024-nfl-week-1-power-rankings-texans-rise-into-top-5/ 12 checkable claims — 4 depth chart calls, 2 playoff picks, 2 surprise team calls, 1 power ranking, 1 season win total, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 10 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 81.2 out of 100, against 88.6 for a naive guess at the same calls. > As long as Patrick Mahomes is healthy, it will be a while before anyone overtakes the Kansas City Chiefs at the No. 1 spot. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Daniel Jones to move to New York Giants** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Daniel Jones, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to finish with 10 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 40 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess - **Drake Maye to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Bo Nix to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Bo Nix, Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **New York Giants to pick “inside the top 10” (picks 1–10)** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: New York Giants - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **New York Jets to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Derek Carr to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Derek Carr, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Gardner Minshew to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Gardner Minshew, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **NFL Week 1 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots** - Kind: Power Rankings - Verdict: scored 71.55 out of 100, against 67.38 for a naive guess - **Arizona Cardinals to beat expectations** - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chicago Bears to beat expectations** - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills - Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/drake-maye - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Bo Nix — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bo-nix - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams - Derek Carr — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/derek-carr - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints - Gardner Minshew — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/gardner-minshew - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bears ## What others said about the same people - Mike Moraitis on Ozzy Trapilo: Moraitis writes that although Braxton Jones has looked like the favorite, Ozzy Trapilo is likely to take over as the Bears' starting left tackle once he's healthy enough to play. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cdfe5f0f-6783-4730-b9bb-d942e28b037a (scored 0) - Pete Martuneac on Ozzy Trapilo: After Trapilo's activation from the PUP list roughly seven months after rupturing his patellar tendon, Martuneac says the Bears' left tackle competition is over and Trapilo will be starting at left tackle early in the 2026 season, even if not by Week 1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d42f10ad-a71c-4ea9-95e8-2b53fde77971 (scored 0) - Henry McKenna on Carson Beck: McKenna predicts Kyler Murray will win the Vikings' starting QB job over J.J. McCarthy, that Minnesota will make the playoffs if Murray cuts out the hero ball, that both QBs will play in 2026, and wonders whether rookie Carson Beck could unseat Jacoby Brissett as Arizona's Week 1 starter. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9025c533-03e6-4e1f-8773-b8ef2f1d46ea (scored 0) - Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0) - Brandon Carney on Stefon Diggs: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 0) - Jared Dubin on Denver Broncos: Dubin picks Denver to win narrowly in Kansas City, 21-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b4339e96-6ced-44c2-88e9-b490d027df7b (scored 2.38) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0) - Ralph Vacchiano on Tua Tagovailoa: Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f782be9-64d3-47cf-b054-6566e14194d6 (scored 0) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100) - Steven Ruiz on Michael Penix Jr.: In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/968b3764-11ef-41b5-a370-ff570b3219d1 (scored 0) - Mike Florio on Shedeur Sanders: Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=marcus-mosher