# Nick Wright: Nick Wright gives his current top-nine quarterback ranking led by Patrick Mahomes, argues the Las Vegas Raiders will make the playoffs, warns the Lions could fall from the No. 1 seed to a 10-7 wild-card team, and predicts a bounce-back season for Mahomes and the Chiefs offense.

**Claimed:** Aug 23, 2025
**Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/whats-wright-with-nick-wright/best-of-jalen-hurts-disrespected-in-qb-rankings-nick-all-in-on-raiders-to-nfl-playoffs-big-changes-for-chiefs

6 checkable claims — 2 season win totals, 1 depth chart call, 1 playoff pick, 1 surprise team call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 46 out of 100, against 64.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I would go one Patrick, two, Josh three, Lamar four, Joe five, Stafford six, Jalen Hurts seven with an asterisk of it's probably too early, but I give it to him, Jaden Daniels eight, Baker

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Josh Simmons to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Josh Simmons, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess
- **Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 80 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess
- **Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess
- **Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **If you're here, is what my ranking would look like. If I were doing it, I would go one Patrick, two, Josh three, Lamar four, Joe five, Stafford six, Jalen Hurts seven with an asterisk of it's probably too early, but I give it to him, Jaden Daniels eight, Baker And then it gets trickier.**
  - Kind: Top Player Lists
  - Verdict: scored 66.67 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations**
  - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Josh Simmons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-simmons
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders

## What others said about the same people

- Matt Dery on Tom Kennedy: Derry predicted a Lions win over the Saints by a 24-20 score, with the Saints covering the 7.5-point spread. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fcf586b4-8b78-41d0-9f73-44a6023b8459 (scored 0)
- Christian Booher on Tom Kennedy: Booher lays out a projected Detroit Lions offensive depth chart ahead of the 2026 regular season, naming starters, backups and practice squad members at every offensive position. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c8fa7c98-626b-413d-ac56-ac6dc7cc764f (scored 0)
- Nathan Jahnke on Brashard Smith: An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 (scored 0)
- Nathan Jahnke on Brashard Smith: PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/265cbdba-b0e0-4f80-9665-a4ca5aaec53e (scored 0)
- Darren Smith on Felix Anudike-Uzomah: Smith picks L.J. Snead over Kristian Fulton to stick on the roster, believes the defensive lineman (FAU) is a lock to make the team, and states firmly that Patrick Mahomes will start under center in Week 1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/be7751b5-c07f-4978-a3e3-582f98aba282 (scored 100)
- JC Pearson on Jaden Hicks: Pearson puts Kristian Fulton among the Chiefs' top four corners who make the team, says the defensive lineman (FAU) has secured his roster spot, and believes Jaden Hicks has played his way onto the roster. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/287e8896-6bc5-41be-9caf-c92fab2e6e2b (scored 100)

## More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Colin Cowherd on Dallas Cowboys: Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd243624-9451-4824-a8a4-7b468d681c8f (scored 100)
- Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ec43b02b-8e3a-4b2e-8c36-1839c9c52e3c (scored 40)
- John Middlekauff on San Francisco 49ers: Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/af06c2e6-9beb-4a7e-b444-620680dbccd1 (scored 60)
- Colin Cowherd on New England Patriots: Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e32a708a-5651-4292-b71b-672f2216a48e (scored 0)
- Chris Brockman on Carolina Panthers: Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bf1a843e-6b29-497e-b58c-b8394d790374 (scored 100)
- Chris Brockman on New England Patriots: Brockman's overreaction slate: Breece Hall leaves the Jets and plays in the playoffs next season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the best receiver in the league, three quarterbacks (Mendoza first overall, plus Ty Simpson and Carson Beck) go in the first round, and the Patriots crater to a 7-10 season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/855631ac-f41e-4f40-9368-ae99994bb8c3 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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