# Bill Huber: Ahead of final cuts, Huber assigns Packers players probability tiers for making the 53-man roster, calling 40 players locks and another 12 more likely than not to stick, while projecting Keisean Nixon as a Week 1 starting cornerback, Tyrod Taylor as the backup QB, Skyy Moore as the returner, and Micah Parsons, Luke Musgrave and Jordon Riley opening the season on PUP.

**Claimed:** Aug 28, 2026
**Pundit:** Bill Huber — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/bill-huber
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/packers/onsi/packers-lock-o-meter-4-0-projects-53-man-roster-including-josh-jacobs

59 checkable claims — 55 roster spot calls and 4 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 56 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

45 of 59 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 88.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> Nixon probably will be a Week 1 starter opposite Brandon Cisse.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Bo Melton to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Bo Melton, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Daniel Whelan to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Daniel Whelan, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Evan Williams to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Evan Williams, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Javon Bullard to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Javon Bullard, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Devonte Wyatt to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Devonte Wyatt, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Kamal Hadden to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kamal Hadden, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jordan Love to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Carrington Valentine to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Carrington Valentine, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Nick Niemann to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Nick Niemann, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tucker Kraft to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tucker Kraft, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Matthew Golden to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Matthew Golden, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Anthony Belton to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Anthony Belton, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jordan Morgan to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jordan Morgan, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Sean Rhyan to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Sean Rhyan, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Kitan Oladapo to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Kitan Oladapo, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Keisean Nixon to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Keisean Nixon, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jonathan Ford to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jonathan Ford, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Matthew Orzech to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Matthew Orzech, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Chris Brooks to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Chris Brooks, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Karl Brooks to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Karl Brooks, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jacob Monk to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jacob Monk, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jayden Reed to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tyrod Taylor to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tyrod Taylor, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Skyy Moore to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Skyy Moore, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **MarShawn Lloyd to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: MarShawn Lloyd, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Darian Kinnard to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Darian Kinnard, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Brenton Cox Jr. to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Brenton Cox Jr., Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Ty'Ron Hopper to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Ty'Ron Hopper, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Lukas Van Ness to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Lukas Van Ness, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Edgerrin Cooper to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Edgerrin Cooper, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Barryn Sorrell to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Barryn Sorrell, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Aaron Banks to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Aaron Banks, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Zaire Franklin to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Zaire Franklin, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Brandon Cisse to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Brandon Cisse, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Isaiah McDuffie to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Isaiah McDuffie, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Chris McClellan to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Chris McClellan, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Trey Smack to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Trey Smack, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Xavier McKinney to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Xavier McKinney, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Josh Whyle to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Josh Whyle, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jager Burton to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jager Burton, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Warren Brinson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Warren Brinson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Javon Hargrave to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Javon Hargrave, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Christian Watson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jonnu Smith to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jonnu Smith, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Benjamin St-Juste to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Benjamin St-Juste, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Domani Jackson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Domani Jackson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyrod Taylor to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tyrod Taylor, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Keisean Nixon to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Keisean Nixon, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Luke Musgrave to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Luke Musgrave, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Collin Oliver to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Collin Oliver, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Jacobs to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Mark Perry to be 5th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Mark Perry, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Mark Perry to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Mark Perry, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Micah Parsons to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Micah Parsons, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jordon Riley to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jordon Riley, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Savion Williams to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Savion Williams, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Skyy Moore to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Skyy Moore, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zach Bako-Bewele to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Zach Bako-Bewele, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Deny Dennis Sutton to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Deny Dennis Sutton, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Bo Melton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bo-melton
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Daniel Whelan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/daniel-whelan
- Evan Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/evan-williams
- Javon Bullard — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/javon-bullard
- Devonte Wyatt — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/devonte-wyatt
- Kamal Hadden — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kamal-hadden
- Jordan Love — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordan-love
- Carrington Valentine — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carrington-valentine
- Nick Niemann — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/nick-niemann
- Tucker Kraft — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tucker-kraft
- Matthew Golden — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/matthew-golden
- Anthony Belton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/anthony-belton
- Jordan Morgan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordan-morgan
- Sean Rhyan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sean-rhyan
- Kitan Oladapo — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kitan-oladapo
- Keisean Nixon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keisean-nixon
- Jonathan Ford — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jonathan-ford
- Matthew Orzech — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/matthew-orzech
- Chris Brooks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chris-brooks
- Karl Brooks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/karl-brooks
- Jacob Monk — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jacob-monk
- Jayden Reed — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jayden-reed
- Tyrod Taylor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tyrod-taylor
- Skyy Moore — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/skyy-moore
- MarShawn Lloyd — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/marshawn-lloyd
- Darian Kinnard — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/darian-kinnard
- Brenton Cox Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brenton-cox-jr
- Ty'Ron Hopper — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ty-ron-hopper
- Lukas Van Ness — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/lukas-van-ness
- Edgerrin Cooper — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/edgerrin-cooper
- Barryn Sorrell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/barryn-sorrell
- Aaron Banks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aaron-banks
- Zaire Franklin — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/zaire-franklin
- Brandon Cisse — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brandon-cisse
- Isaiah McDuffie — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/isaiah-mcduffie
- Chris McClellan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chris-mcclellan
- Trey Smack — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/trey-smack
- Xavier McKinney — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/xavier-mckinney
- Josh Whyle — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-whyle
- Jager Burton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jager-burton
- Warren Brinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/warren-brinson
- Javon Hargrave — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/javon-hargrave
- Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/christian-watson
- Jonnu Smith — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jonnu-smith
- Benjamin St-Juste — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/benjamin-st-juste
- Domani Jackson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/domani-jackson
- Luke Musgrave — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/luke-musgrave
- Collin Oliver — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/collin-oliver
- Josh Jacobs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-jacobs
- Mark Perry — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mark-perry
- Micah Parsons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/micah-parsons
- Jordon Riley — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordon-riley
- Savion Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/savion-williams
- Zach Bako-Bewele — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/zach-bako-bewele
- Deny Dennis Sutton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/deny-dennis-sutton

## What others said about the same people

- Jacob Westendorf on Green Bay Packers: Westendorf picks the Packers to win the opener 27-21, with Tucker Kraft leading the team in catches, Christian Watson in yards, Jayden Reed in touchdowns and Josh Jacobs in rushing. He tabs Bo Nix as MVP, the Broncos as the AFC's top team and Super Bowl winner over the Rams, the Lions to win the NFC North, and the Packers to finish 8-9. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74732492-951c-4bdd-9047-b9c9b08265d6 (scored 23.81)
- AJ Hawk on Green Bay Packers: AJ Hawk picked the Ravens over the Colts, Carolina to beat Chicago outright, the Bills at Houston, the Bengals over Tampa Bay, the Titans over the Jets, the Raiders over Miami, the Packers at Minnesota and the Cowboys over the Giants. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74f9146c-d27f-4851-b8a4-4103d043308f (scored 0)
- Kirk Herbstreit on Green Bay Packers: Herbstreit made a full slate of Week 1 picks — Lions, Ravens, Bears, Bills, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Titans, Eagles, Packers and Cowboys — and also said he still thinks Seattle is the team to beat in the NFC West. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5bc3755c-9b84-484f-b8f2-b18d51a12261 (scored 0)
- Pat McAfee on Green Bay Packers: In the show's weekly picks segment Pat took the Steelers at home over Atlanta, the Jaguars over Cleveland, the Raiders over Miami, the Packers at Minnesota and the Cowboys over the Giants. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d72ee420-9220-402c-9a25-44bc6ed8c477 (scored 0)
- Jared Dubin on Green Bay Packers: Dubin picked the Texans to beat the Bills 20-17 and the Packers to win on the road at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3a9aea65-224c-4050-947f-0a4acab886c3 (scored 0)
- Brandon Sneide on Green Bay Packers: Snyder picked Matthew Golden as the Packers' offensive player of the year and Edron (Edgerrin) Cooper as defensive player of the year, predicting Cooper makes All-Pro, and forecast a 27-24 Green Bay win in Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e74e8a9-a501-4a32-9b38-7f98b922415d (scored 16.67)

## More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- John Shipley on Jack Kiser: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0)
- Cody Rourke on Mitchell Fraboni: Rourke names the Ravens as the bounce-back team most likely to be dangerous in the AFC again, and says Houston's defense alone should carry the Texans into the postseason. He also expects long snapper Mitchell Fraboni to be one of Denver's practice-squad elevations for the Chiefs game, and slots Pat Bryant as Denver's third receiver behind Courtland Sutton and Jaylen Waddle. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ecf0b4d8-7096-41e4-b8bd-f37d5cdcd8d5 (scored 0)
- Sayre Bedinger on Adam Prentice: Benninger expects Houston's elite defense to make them either a division winner or a wild card team, thinks Marvin Mims was trending toward being Denver's fourth receiver rather than just the return man, and figures Adam Prentice will be the Broncos' other practice-squad call-up. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ac244b64-ba35-48be-bad9-b54ef4f4fcfc (scored 0)
- Bob Morris on Adam Prentice: Morris predicts Jarrett Stidham holds the backup QB job behind Bo Nix, Adam Prentice makes the 53-man roster as the fullback/fourth back, and Lucas Krull gets cut. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fbd4f215-eaf5-4bff-9431-d661656ff28a (scored 100)
- Erick Trickel on Adam Prentice: After the Broncos' preseason opener, Trickel argued fullback Adam Prentice has shown enough value to earn a spot on the 53-man roster ahead of the team's fourth running back options (Jaleel McLaughlin, Tyler Badie, Cody Schrader). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3b8bcd8c-c4ab-4a02-9bb6-39d20cae9d37 (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Aaron Donald: Shook unveiled his first NFL power rankings of the year, putting the Rams first, the Broncos second and the defending champion Seahawks only third, with the Dolphins last. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ea18c6ec-7662-4e66-91ed-4d0ef9d7d97d (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=bill-huber
