# Nick Shook: Shook picked LSU tackle Will Campbell as the offensive lineman from this class most likely to become an All-Pro, but specifically at guard rather than tackle. He also called Missouri's Armand Membu one of the first two tackles off the board, tabbed Oregon State's Joshua Gray as a hidden gem who won't be a first-round pick, and argued Minnesota will win at least nine games.

**Claimed:** Apr 9, 2025
**Pundit:** Nick Shook — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-shook
**Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/early-win-totals-takeaways-and-ol-draft-preview

4 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick, 1 position order call, 1 pro bowl and all-pro call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 68.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> It's Will Campbell to tackle from LSU, and I'm saying he's most likely to be an All Pro first at guard.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Joshua Gray to be picked “won't be a first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Joshua Gray
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess
- **Will Campbell to make All Pro (at guard)**
  - Kind: Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · About: Will Campbell
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Armand Membou to be one of those first two tackles coming off of the board tackle off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Armand Membou
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Joshua Gray — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/joshua-gray
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Will Campbell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/will-campbell
- Armand Membou — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/armand-membou

## What others said about the same people

- Bradley Locker on Carson Wentz: PFF's unsigned adjusted power rankings after Week 1 of the 2026 season place the Bills first, the Rams second and the Dolphins last, with notes on quarterback situations in Seattle, Minnesota and Cleveland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a3716f21-0488-4fc8-a414-c25c2d781a6e (scored 100)
- Adam Chudwin on Minnesota Vikings: In his annual game-by-game Bears prediction, Chudwin went through all 17 games and landed on a 12-5 season for Chicago. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b6e5e93f-2997-4140-881f-3acec911a1f1 (scored 100)
- Trevor Ripley on Dillon Bell: Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/529718b4-3310-4bc4-949a-09c9600f3c48 (scored 0)
- Tom Pelissero on Adam Thielen: Pelissero doubted Micah Parsons would ultimately sit out, said the most logical outcome is Parsons showing up and playing out his contract, and pegged his eventual deal in the $45 million-per-year range; he also predicted the Vikings' week one starter opposite Justin Jefferson is not currently on their roster, floating Adam Thielen as a target, and said Justin Jefferson will be good to go for week one. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a7185069-741c-4dc1-b7c3-09775ddb0c32 (scored 100)
- Colin Cowherd on Armand Membou: Cowherd delivered his own top-15 draft board — what he would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1d3f1be7-f506-422a-af38-e6e32088f3e5 (scored 73.84)
- Colin Cowherd on Aaron Rodgers: Cowherd gave his post-free-agency top 10 NFL team rankings, with Philadelphia first and Green Bay tenth, kept the Chiefs as a playoff team while predicting a pullback, and said the Chargers will make a big jump in Jim Harbaugh's second year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6bec15ac-bc47-4fae-b138-ffa90bd62538 (scored 0)

## More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Rhett Lewis on Tyler Shough: Lewis names Louisville's Tyler Shough as the new QB3 of the class — the third quarterback off the board — and views Milroe as a second-round selection. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d116ab63-5271-4b18-838b-29bb93d58530 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Carnell Tate: Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/77faa345-d736-4a90-8185-b1b92c789e5a (scored 100)
- Todd McShay on K.C. Concepcion: McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd11036a-b55c-47a9-92e8-5b088260ca47 (scored 100)
- Keith Sanchez on Jordyn Tyson: As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/226ec0b5-6535-45ba-8b77-609e3e51ca6e (scored 70.71)
- Field Yates on Jordyn Tyson: As relayed by Rich Eisen, Yates' two-round mock draft has Fernando Mendoza first overall, followed by three edge/defenders, Caleb Downs fifth, and a series of other named picks including Eli Stowers to Tampa Bay at 46. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7eaa4c0b-96d6-4cb2-bb55-3307b797fb9b (scored 100)
- Mel Kiper on Carnell Tate: Kiper's post-free-agency mock draft, as relayed on the show, assigns specific prospects to specific picks through the top 20, including Fernando Mendoza at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5 and CJ Allen to the Cowboys at No. 20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/08c37955-b295-45c8-8d32-b0223c0b02b9 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nick-shook