# Peter Schrager: Schrager stopped short of calling it inevitable but said Cam Ward will very likely be the first overall pick, and noted he already viewed Ward as the first quarterback off the board (ranking him seventh overall among prospects).

**Claimed:** Mar 25, 2025
**Pundit:** Peter Schrager — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/peter-schrager
**Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-good-morning-football/gmfb-tuesday-hour-1-greatest-segment-ever-should-t

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 37.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I wouldn't say it's inevitable, but I would say it's very likely that cam Ward will be the first overall pick.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Cam Ward to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cam Ward, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Cam Ward
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 24.2 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Cam Ward — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cam-ward
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans

## What others said about the same people

- Kyle Brandt on Cam Ward: Brandt insists Cam Ward will be the No. 1 overall pick as the best player in the draft, and predicts Ashton Jeanty won't fall past pick six or seven. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf3ad678-a0a0-49c1-a265-69812a3e5048 (scored 100)
- Colin Cowherd on Cam Ward: Cowherd delivered his own top-15 draft board — what he would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1d3f1be7-f506-422a-af38-e6e32088f3e5 (scored 100)
- Cody Kessler on Cam Ward: Kessler disagreed that the Titans can skip a quarterback, predicting Tennessee takes Cam Ward with the first overall pick, and said Ward will be the first quarterback drafted in this class. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd11c7ce-432f-4be2-9c09-cdce4d8ee3a1 (scored 100)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Abdul Carter: In his latest mock draft, Jeremiah has the Titans staying at No. 1 and selecting Penn State pass rusher Abdul Carter first overall. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e060368a-ddd8-415f-a95a-a0e04ce850df (scored 91.7)
- Eric Cohen on Tennessee Titans: Cohen says the Bears win easily in Carolina, and that Tennessee starts 1-0 over a Jets team he considers the third-worst in the league. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/37c0b874-cb1b-43c8-b78e-96a7b287ae62 (scored 0)
- Kirk Herbstreit on Tennessee Titans: Herbstreit made a full slate of Week 1 picks — Lions, Ravens, Bears, Bills, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Titans, Eagles, Packers and Cowboys — and also said he still thinks Seattle is the team to beat in the NFC West. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5bc3755c-9b84-484f-b8f2-b18d51a12261 (scored 0)

## More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Nick Shook on Olaivavega Ioane: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 35.36)
- Rhett Lewis on Tyler Shough: Lewis names Louisville's Tyler Shough as the new QB3 of the class — the third quarterback off the board — and views Milroe as a second-round selection. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d116ab63-5271-4b18-838b-29bb93d58530 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Carnell Tate: Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/77faa345-d736-4a90-8185-b1b92c789e5a (scored 100)
- Todd McShay on K.C. Concepcion: McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd11036a-b55c-47a9-92e8-5b088260ca47 (scored 100)
- Keith Sanchez on Jordyn Tyson: As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/226ec0b5-6535-45ba-8b77-609e3e51ca6e (scored 70.71)
- Field Yates on Jordyn Tyson: As relayed by Rich Eisen, Yates' two-round mock draft has Fernando Mendoza first overall, followed by three edge/defenders, Caleb Downs fifth, and a series of other named picks including Eli Stowers to Tampa Bay at 46. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7eaa4c0b-96d6-4cb2-bb55-3307b797fb9b (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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