# Jared Dubin: Dubin has Houston beating Cincinnati at home and Kansas City grinding out a narrow win over Indianapolis.

**Claimed:** Sep 18, 2026
**Pundit:** Jared Dubin — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jared-dubin
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-2-odds-predictions-expert-picks/

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 59.5 out of 100, against 53.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I like the Texans to secure the win at home.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Houston Texans 26 — Bengals 24**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 21.43 out of 100, against 15.44 for a naive guess
- **Kansas City Chiefs 21 — Colts 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 91.63 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs

## What others said about the same people

- Joshua Schulman on Kansas City Chiefs: Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/688ed965-da9e-4ced-9e80-10e7c54d5f43 (scored 100)
- Colin Cowherd on Houston Texans: Cowherd repeats his claim that Caleb Williams will be viewed as a top four or five quarterback by the end of the season, restates his preseason pick of the Ravens to win their division, and expects a angry Houston defense to beat Cincinnati on Sunday. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e43d4655-1b30-4892-a8ee-3cfe6bf29dba (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Kansas City Chiefs: Amid his Week 2 spread picks, Wright made a few straight-up calls: Jacksonville wins outright at Denver, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he'd be stunned if Kansas City lost to Indianapolis. He also expected Zay Flowers and Ladd McConkie to sit out with injuries. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2cdeee40-89bf-46f1-b5a1-1a2511dc01cd (scored 100)
- Chris Broussard on Houston Texans: Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a54915e0-49e6-427b-a7a5-4feb5d0f3cbb (scored 0)
- Greg Jennings on Houston Texans: Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/420d3e29-6224-43a2-8d68-b15c864838cd (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Houston Texans: Wright stuck by his preseason call of a 12-5 Bills team that wins its division, picked the Jaguars to beat Denver outright, leaned Texans over Cincinnati, still has Atlanta as his deep sleeper, counts New England among his 14 playoff teams, and recalled pegging Washington for a 5-12 or 6-11 year with a bottom-six defense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d9357a30-3f1d-4be4-8ce6-529f21f9aeac (scored 0)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Pete Prisco on Los Angeles Rams: Prisco picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-14. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1c7b3a7f-651c-4ca3-987c-81b5499efbc7 (scored 85.71)
- Jordan Dajani on Los Angeles Rams: Dajani picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-21. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0ee2d609-d044-481e-a8a3-627c7fbc89e7 (scored 69.05)
- John Breech on Los Angeles Rams: Breech expects Caleb Williams to return quickly from his hamstring injury, at the latest by Week 4 against the Jets or Week 5 against the Packers, and he picked the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday night. He also floated the Saints as a potential surprise team this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66fd2840-c785-4c7f-9284-eb570c4dd0c4 (scored 54.76)
- Tyler Sullivan on Los Angeles Rams: Sullivan picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-21. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8b0050fc-eab7-4a1a-8927-d7d68e482885 (scored 69.05)
- Jordan Dajani on Los Angeles Rams: Dajani has New England edging Pittsburgh 16-13 and the Rams beating the Giants 30-21 on a late field goal. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/39641ffd-eec4-4481-9447-b4bd25762044 (scored 69.05)
- Pete Prisco on Los Angeles Rams: Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/29185ff4-dec4-498f-aa45-4ca2d72dcbe3 (scored 85.71)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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