# Tom Jensen: Jensen projects the 49ers' final 53-man roster ahead of the August 30 cutdown, naming a long list of players he expects to be released outright, another group he expects to be cut and return on the practice squad ("boomerang cuts"), and three borderline players (Jordan James, Jacob Cowing, James Thompson Jr.) he believes San Francisco will keep. **Claimed:** Aug 21, 2026 **Pundit:** Tom Jensen — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tom-jensen **Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sports-illustrated **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/49ers/onsi/49ers-shift-focus-cutdown-day-after-walloping-chargers-la 41 checkable claims — 41 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 42 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 17 of 41 have settled so far, averaging 17.6 out of 100, against 76.5 for a naive guess at the same calls. > My thinking is if he was cut he would be picked up, so the 49ers choose to keep him. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **KhaDarel Hodge to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: KhaDarel Hodge, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Malik Turner to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Malik Turner, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Luke Farrell to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Luke Farrell, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Ashtyn Davis to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Ashtyn Davis, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Doug Kramer to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Doug Kramer, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **James Thompson to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: James Thompson, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Luke Gifford to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Luke Gifford, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Eli Apple to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Eli Apple, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Jacob Cowing to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jacob Cowing, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Quinton Bell to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Quinton Bell, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Brayden Willis to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Brayden Willis, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Brandon Parker to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Brandon Parker, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Siran Neal to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Siran Neal, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Khalil Herbert to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Khalil Herbert, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Robert Jones to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Robert Jones, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Jordan James to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jordan James, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Trenton Irwin to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Trenton Irwin, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Josiah Deguara to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Josiah Deguara, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Zamir White to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Zamir White, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Patrick McMorris to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Patrick McMorris, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Darrell Luter Jr. to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Darrell Luter Jr., San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Adrian Martinez to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Adrian Martinez, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Nick Zakelj to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Nick Zakelj, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jalen Graham to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jalen Graham, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Drake Nugent to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Drake Nugent, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Austen Pleasants to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Austen Pleasants, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Bryson Eason to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Bryson Eason, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Sebastian Valdez to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Sebastian Valdez, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Evan Anderson to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Evan Anderson, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Hayden Rucci to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Hayden Rucci, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jakob Robinson to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jakob Robinson, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Wesley Grimes to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Wesley Grimes, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Sincere McCormick to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Sincere McCormick, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Alex Barrett to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Alex Barrett, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Titus Leo to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Titus Leo, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jalen Stroman to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jalen Stroman, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Nate Hobbs to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Nate Hobbs, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Larry Worth to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Larry Worth, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Victor Dimukeje to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Victor Dimukeje, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Will Pauling to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Will Pauling, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Christian Kirk to make the roster** - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Christian Kirk, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - KhaDarel Hodge — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/khadarel-hodge - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Malik Turner — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/malik-turner - Luke Farrell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/luke-farrell - Ashtyn Davis — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ashtyn-davis - Doug Kramer — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/doug-kramer - James Thompson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/james-thompson - Luke Gifford — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/luke-gifford - Eli Apple — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/eli-apple - Jacob Cowing — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jacob-cowing - Quinton Bell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/quinton-bell - Brayden Willis — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brayden-willis - Brandon Parker — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brandon-parker - Siran Neal — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/siran-neal - Khalil Herbert — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/khalil-herbert - Robert Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/robert-jones - Jordan James — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordan-james - Trenton Irwin — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/trenton-irwin - Josiah Deguara — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josiah-deguara - Zamir White — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/zamir-white - Patrick McMorris — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/patrick-mcmorris - Darrell Luter Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/darrell-luter-jr - Adrian Martinez — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/adrian-martinez - Nick Zakelj — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/nick-zakelj - Jalen Graham — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jalen-graham - Drake Nugent — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/drake-nugent - Austen Pleasants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/austen-pleasants - Bryson Eason — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bryson-eason - Sebastian Valdez — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sebastian-valdez - Evan Anderson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/evan-anderson - Hayden Rucci — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/hayden-rucci - Jakob Robinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jakob-robinson - Wesley Grimes — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/wesley-grimes - Sincere McCormick — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sincere-mccormick - Alex Barrett — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/alex-barrett - Titus Leo — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/titus-leo - Jalen Stroman — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jalen-stroman - Nate Hobbs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/nate-hobbs - Larry Worth — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/larry-worth - Victor Dimukeje — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/victor-dimukeje - Will Pauling — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/will-pauling - Christian Kirk — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/christian-kirk ## What others said about the same people - Mike Tannenbaum on Stefon Diggs: Tannenbaum argues the Chiefs should lean on the run game early while Mahomes recovers, says the Bills haven't done enough at receiver and would repeat their playoff shortcoming, expects AJ Brown to have a massive impact in New England, thinks George Pickens will earn a big raise, and offers free-agent fits: Deebo Samuel to Buffalo, Joey Bosa to Tampa Bay, Taylor Decker to Houston, and Stefon Diggs to San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f7a29c18-face-49c0-b84f-33715b4c6678 (scored 0) - Evan Silva on San Francisco 49ers: In his 2020 fantasy defense/special teams rankings, Silva puts the Steelers first, the 49ers second and the Ravens third, citing pass rush, favorable early schedules and game scripts. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/180b1036-60e5-494b-9b4d-90b5dc3d6528 (scored 0) - John Middlekauff on San Francisco 49ers: Previewing the NFL's Australia game in Week 1, Middlekauff picks the underdog 49ers to beat the Rams, arguing San Francisco's long acclimation trip and Kyle Shanahan's edge over Sean McVay make them a live dog. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/581128af-a57f-4ec8-b904-e3f1e7c65e67 (scored 100) - Tyler Sullivan on San Francisco 49ers: An unsigned CBS Sports piece flags five Week 1 underdogs as upset candidates: the 49ers over the Rams in Melbourne, the Texans over the Bills, the Panthers over the Bears, the Jets over the Titans, and the Broncos over the Chiefs on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd6c3269-8c90-4044-9c48-0b1fc3537699 (scored 100) - Richard Sherman on San Francisco 49ers: Sherman picked Seattle to beat New England 28-17 in the opener, ran through score picks for the rest of the week one slate (49ers, Cowboys, Bills, Bears, Vikings, Colts, Broncos), said the Seahawks would also beat the Cardinals, Commanders and Chargers, backed Dallas to win its division, and predicted Christian Gonzalez's deal would come in barely above Devon Witherspoon's. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3b4f1960-4810-4136-8023-c9a76a0598a3 (scored 59.52) - Eva Geitheim on San Francisco 49ers: Geitheim's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/599df4d8-af5a-4097-b802-1d21ce7b6ce1 (scored 100) ## More roster spot calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - John Shipley on Jack Kiser: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0) - Cody Rourke on Mitchell Fraboni: Rourke names the Ravens as the bounce-back team most likely to be dangerous in the AFC again, and says Houston's defense alone should carry the Texans into the postseason. He also expects long snapper Mitchell Fraboni to be one of Denver's practice-squad elevations for the Chiefs game, and slots Pat Bryant as Denver's third receiver behind Courtland Sutton and Jaylen Waddle. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ecf0b4d8-7096-41e4-b8bd-f37d5cdcd8d5 (scored 0) - Sayre Bedinger on Adam Prentice: Benninger expects Houston's elite defense to make them either a division winner or a wild card team, thinks Marvin Mims was trending toward being Denver's fourth receiver rather than just the return man, and figures Adam Prentice will be the Broncos' other practice-squad call-up. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ac244b64-ba35-48be-bad9-b54ef4f4fcfc (scored 0) - Bob Morris on Adam Prentice: Morris predicts Jarrett Stidham holds the backup QB job behind Bo Nix, Adam Prentice makes the 53-man roster as the fullback/fourth back, and Lucas Krull gets cut. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fbd4f215-eaf5-4bff-9431-d661656ff28a (scored 100) - Erick Trickel on Adam Prentice: After the Broncos' preseason opener, Trickel argued fullback Adam Prentice has shown enough value to earn a spot on the 53-man roster ahead of the team's fourth running back options (Jaleel McLaughlin, Tyler Badie, Cody Schrader). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3b8bcd8c-c4ab-4a02-9bb6-39d20cae9d37 (scored 100) - Nick Shook on Aaron Donald: Shook unveiled his first NFL power rankings of the year, putting the Rams first, the Broncos second and the defending champion Seahawks only third, with the Dolphins last. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ea18c6ec-7662-4e66-91ed-4d0ef9d7d97d (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=tom-jensen