# Pat Gustavson: Gustafson handled the even-numbered mock draft picks: David Bailey No. 2 to the Jets, Jeremiah Love No. 4 to the Titans, Karnell Tate No. 6 to the Browns, Ruben Bane No. 8 to the Saints, Jordan Tyson No. 10 to the Giants, and so on. He also said Ty Simpson will be the biggest first-round bust and predicted the Cowboys will trade up into the top five. **Claimed:** Apr 22, 2026 **Pundit:** Pat Gustavson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/pat-gustavson **Outlet:** Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/bran-coverage-with-benchwarmerbran-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.buzzsprout.com/2182919/episodes/19060200-full-first-round-mock-draft-latest-nfl-news-podcast-for-4-22.mp3 20 checkable claims — 14 mock draft picks, 3 draft bust calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 30 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 14 of 20 have settled so far, averaging 68.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > I'm actually gonna go with David Bailey here, the edge rusher from Texas Tech. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **David Bailey to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Blake Miller to be picked at number 28** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 16** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 2.31 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 26** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 24** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Cade McDonald to be picked at number 32** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cade McDonald, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 30** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 22** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to disappoint at the next level** - Kind: Draft Bust Calls · About: Jordyn Tyson - Verdict: not settled yet - **K.C. Concepcion to disappoint at the next level** - Kind: Draft Bust Calls · About: K.C. Concepcion - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chris Olave to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tony Pollard to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Tony Pollard - Verdict: not settled yet - **Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level** - Kind: Draft Bust Calls · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Dallas Cowboys to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets - Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/blake-miller - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans - Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans - Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns - Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants - Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints - Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion - Chris Olave — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chris-olave - Tony Pollard — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tony-pollard - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson ## What others said about the same people - Carmen Vitali on Buffalo Bills: In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/948bc684-6a05-4cb4-a5ff-72861da00102 (scored 100) - Tracy Sandler on Baltimore Ravens: Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74f12600-9587-488a-af00-2e8c11643531 (scored 100) - John Middlekauff on Tennessee Titans: Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8115d255-82e3-442e-aeef-c3eaa3587603 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on New Orleans Saints: On his Week 3 pick show, Nick Wright gave straight-up final-score predictions for five games, calling blowouts by Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami, a Jacksonville home win over New England, a narrow New Orleans win over the Raiders and a low-scoring Baltimore win over Dallas in Brazil. He also called Seattle the best team in the NFL with the league's best defense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/afa6070a-4229-4b28-a922-31d609ad1adf (scored 33.33) - Eric Mangini on Los Angeles Chargers: In his taped upset alert, the coach took the winless Chargers to beat the undefeated Bills, citing Los Angeles' desperation and Buffalo's leaky defense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c5e9288a-a752-4236-889e-edc171b86264 (scored 0) - Kevin Wildes on New York Jets: For upset alert Wildes took the Broncos to beat the Rams straight up in Denver and added the Jets to beat the Lions straight up. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/35bc2cfa-9927-43ce-be97-5c73bb6517fd (scored 0) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Nick Shook on Emmanuel McNeil-Warren: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 17.68) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Makai Lemon: Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 (scored 95.76) - Scott Bogman on Kayden McDonald: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 47.88) - Steve Mensch on Makai Lemon: Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f65851f3-1c53-4ae9-80ef-875db5ce2a3f (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=pat-gustavson