# Craig Stout: Craig says Arvell Reese is a top-five pick in this draft class but will not be a Micah Parsons-level player, and he views both Mekhi Lemmon and Carnell Tate as top-10 selections.

**Claimed:** Mar 26, 2026
**Pundit:** Craig Stout — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/craig-stout
**Outlet:** KC Sports Network (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/kc-sports-network-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://pdrl.fm/8d7cde/mgln.ai/e/256/pscrb.fm/rss/p/clrtpod.com/m/bluewire.simplecastaudio.com/8bf45406-115f-47da-8dc8-dcc5713f4a83/episodes/63f29ff2-d936-42e1-b889-4bc495ab3161/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=8bf45406-115f-47da-8dc8-dcc5713f4a83&awEpisodeId=63f29ff2-d936-42e1-b889-4bc495ab3161&feed=BJf5DYgc

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 21.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Arvel Reese is a very good player. He is a top five pick in this draft.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Arvell Reese to be picked “a top five pick in this draft” (picks 1–5)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Makai Lemon to be picked “projected top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon
  - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Colonel Tate to be picked “projected top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Colonel Tate
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon
- Colonel Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/colonel-tate

## What others said about the same people

- Patricia Traina on Arvell Reese: Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8bb1a183-b45b-44db-8a61-23bdd2238a6b (scored 100)
- Jeff Kerr on Makai Lemon: Kerr's updated 53-man roster projection for the Eagles after eight training camp practices, naming which players make the team at each position plus depth-chart placements like Wicks as WR2, Mundt as TE2, Kendall as third guard, Bell as third tackle, and Epps/Carter battling to start at safety. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/328a952b-d6b4-4065-aac9-0029421fb50f (scored 100)
- Jeff Kerr on Makai Lemon: Kerr judges Eagles camp overreactions: he doubts Jalen Hurts reaches 30 touchdown passes, thinks only one of Darius Cooper or Johnny Wilson makes the 53 (with Cooper leading the WR5 race), and expects Dallas Goedert to post double-digit receiving touchdowns again. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e4e149d7-62f4-4077-bed0-e267c3dee9d6 (scored 100)
- Jeff Kerr on Makai Lemon: Kerr ranks the Eagles' 2025 draft picks by cut risk, predicting seventh-rounders Keyshawn James-Newby and Cole Wisniewski land on the practice squad, while Cole Payton, Uar Bernard, Makai Lemon, Eli Stowers and Markel Bell make the 53. He also says Lemon starts Week 1 and Bell is the right tackle of the future. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ae8f39f7-dab8-4908-a53e-e3401a7c8bee (scored 0)
- Jeff Kerr on Makai Lemon: Kerr's third Eagles 53-man roster projection names the players he expects to make the team at each position, with Cole Payton, Elijah Moore, Johnny Wilson, Gabe Hall and Rocco Underwood left off; he also predicts Underwood is exposed to waivers and returns to the practice squad, Deontae Lawson lands on the practice squad, and Eli Stowers is the TE3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2120c4ea-7113-4ebf-9ebc-0d4a62d83c3a (scored 100)
- Jeff Kerr on Makai Lemon: In his second Eagles 53-man roster projection nine practices into training camp, Kerr names 35 roster locks and eight more players likely to make the team, plus depth-chart calls at backup quarterback, RB3, No. 3 guard and backup center. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4e6e81fc-dc8e-4cb6-87ad-d62d4f5b85bf (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)
- Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=craig-stout
