# Mike Renner: In his 2027 mock draft, Renner has the Dolphins landing the No. 1 pick and selecting Arch Manning, and his 2027 WR rankings have Jeremiah Smith as the top receiver in the class.

**Claimed:** Sep 4, 2026
**Pundit:** Mike Renner — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-renner
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/2027-nfl-draft-predictions-no-1-pick-risers-sleepers/

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> Renner's 2027 NFL mock draft: Dolphins tank for Arch Manning in loaded blue-chip class

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jeremiah Smith to be 1st WR off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Jeremiah Smith
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Arch Manning to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arch Manning
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Jeremiah Smith — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jeremiah-smith
- Arch Manning — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/arch-manning

## What others said about the same people

- Rob Rang on Jeremiah Smith: Rang ranks the four headline prospects from the Texas-Ohio State game in the order he'd draft them (Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Cam Coleman, Julian Sayin) and assigns each a draft grade: Smith and Manning as top-5 picks, Coleman top 10, and Sayin a third-rounder. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd619cef-1878-4067-9021-a5ec734d35ed (scored 0)
- Rob Bushka on Jeremiah Smith: Buschka predicted Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith could be the No. 1 overall pick in next year's draft, that Ty Simpson will sit as a clipboard-holding backup, that the receiver the Rams passed on (Lemon) will break out with a huge target share once AJ Brown is moved to New England, and he called Sean McVay the best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d22056d2-7d39-488d-bec5-580108e3aca4 (scored 0)
- Daniel Wade on Jeremiah Smith: In a trade-back mock draft, Wade has the Chargers deal pick 22 to Miami and select edge rusher Cassius Howell at 30, guard Keelan Rutledge at 55, cornerback Malik Muhammad at 86, wide receiver Brennan Thompson at 87, linebacker Keyshawn Elliott at 123, and offensive tackle Travis Burke at 151. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/19828eac-29a1-4ecc-9d93-9e95f149a1f2 (scored 0)
- Chris Brockman on Arch Manning: Brockman predicted the NFC South order as Falcons first, Buccaneers second, Panthers third, Saints last, with both Atlanta and Tampa making the playoffs; he also expects the Saints to end up with the No. 1 overall pick and select Arch Manning. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/131d5e9e-fb6e-4065-b724-39f59b1083a6 (scored 0)
- Jason McIntyre on Arch Manning: Filling in as host, McIntyre ranked the eight remaining divisional-round quarterbacks from 8 to 1, with Josh Allen first and Bo Nix last. He also said Matthew Stafford will probably win MVP, called the Rams his Super Bowl pick, said Fernando Mendoza is a slam-dunk No. 1 pick, thinks Arch Manning goes No. 1 next year, and called Kansas's Peterson a top-five pick. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2baf62d9-875a-4021-b4ba-f8e02158c8bb (scored 0)
- Brady Quinn on Arch Manning: Quinn assessed the preseason AP poll, saying Texas at No. 1 is appropriate, that Penn State should actually be No. 1 and is positioned to reach the championship game and win it all, that Ohio State/Clemson/Georgia are ranked about right, and that Arizona State and Illinois are overrated. He also predicted Arch Manning would be the first overall pick if he comes out, and later said Drew Allar would be the top pick if he has the year Quinn expects. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/93e9a9eb-9946-49bd-a51b-8581c0e21b09 (scored 0)

## More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Nick Wright on Carnell Tate: Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/77faa345-d736-4a90-8185-b1b92c789e5a (scored 100)
- Todd McShay on K.C. Concepcion: McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd11036a-b55c-47a9-92e8-5b088260ca47 (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Makai Lemon: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 70.71)
- Keith Sanchez on Jordyn Tyson: As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/226ec0b5-6535-45ba-8b77-609e3e51ca6e (scored 70.71)
- Field Yates on Jordyn Tyson: As relayed by Rich Eisen, Yates' two-round mock draft has Fernando Mendoza first overall, followed by three edge/defenders, Caleb Downs fifth, and a series of other named picks including Eli Stowers to Tampa Bay at 46. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7eaa4c0b-96d6-4cb2-bb55-3307b797fb9b (scored 100)
- Mel Kiper on Carnell Tate: Kiper's post-free-agency mock draft, as relayed on the show, assigns specific prospects to specific picks through the top 20, including Fernando Mendoza at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5 and CJ Allen to the Cowboys at No. 20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/08c37955-b295-45c8-8d32-b0223c0b02b9 (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=mike-renner
