# Nathan Jahnke: PFF's preseason fantasy recap projects Colts roles: Keenan Allen as the starting Z receiver with Josh Downs in the slot, Laquon Treadwell as the backup X, and seventh-round rookie Seth McGowan as the favorite to be Jonathan Taylor's backup ahead of DJ Giddens. On the Lions, Tom Kennedy appears to have locked up a roster spot with Greg Dortch next most likely.

**Claimed:** Aug 29, 2026
**Pundit:** Nathan Jahnke — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nathan-jahnke
**Outlet:** Pro Football Focus — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/pro-football-focus
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.pff.com/news/2026-nfl-preseason-week-3-recap-immediate-fantasy-football-takeaways-from-saturdays-games/

7 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls and 2 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> This suggests that Allen will be a Z receiver this season, leaving Downs in the slot in 11 personnel.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Greg Dortch to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Greg Dortch, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Keenan Allen to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Keenan Allen, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seth McGowan to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Seth McGowan, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tom Kennedy to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tom Kennedy, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Laquon Treadwell to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Laquon Treadwell, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DJ Giddens to be 3rd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: DJ Giddens, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Downs to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Greg Dortch — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/greg-dortch
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Keenan Allen — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keenan-allen
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Seth McGowan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/seth-mcgowan
- Tom Kennedy — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tom-kennedy
- Laquon Treadwell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/laquon-treadwell
- DJ Giddens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dj-giddens
- Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-downs

## What others said about the same people

- Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100)
- Emmett Matasovsky on Christian Izien: Matasovsky says Dobbs is currently leading the backup quarterback race and suggests Christian Izien may be pressed into a starting safety role in Week 1 while Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph rehab. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9715ee92-1646-4ee4-8911-e3e4cbae9027 (scored 0)
- Noah Compton on C.J. Allen: After watching the Colts' eleventh training camp practice, Compton says rookie linebacker CJ Allen is still expected to start the regular-season opener, identifies Alec Pierce as the team's top receiver and Cam Taylor-Britt as the first cornerback behind the starting trio, and declares the kicking job Blake Grupe's to lose. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/98a8bd92-bcd8-4b5a-aad7-96ecd936662b (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Detroit Lions: Prisco predicts the Lions blow out the Saints in Detroit and that the Chargers rout the Cardinals behind a new-look offense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2bb82ce8-249f-4f77-b543-f84d64882973 (scored 100)
- Kevin Wildes on Indianapolis Colts: Wildes parlayed two upsets: Houston beating Buffalo and Indianapolis beating Baltimore, and had picked Dak Prescott as league MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f28f3fe2-4d14-4184-9168-052e865ecb0b (scored 0)
- Kirk Herbstreit on Detroit Lions: Herbstreit made a full slate of Week 1 picks — Lions, Ravens, Bears, Bills, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Titans, Eagles, Packers and Cowboys — and also said he still thinks Seattle is the team to beat in the NFC West. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5bc3755c-9b84-484f-b8f2-b18d51a12261 (scored 100)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0)
- Ralph Vacchiano on Tua Tagovailoa: Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f782be9-64d3-47cf-b054-6566e14194d6 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Michael Penix Jr.: In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/968b3764-11ef-41b5-a370-ff570b3219d1 (scored 0)
- Mike Florio on Shedeur Sanders: Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nathan-jahnke
