# Aaron Schatz: Presenting the FTN Football Almanac 2025 projections, Schatz projects the 49ers as the NFC's best team (11.2 wins) and NFC West champion, the Jaguars to win the AFC South with nine wins, the Commanders at 10.6 wins winning the NFC East ahead of Philadelphia, the Raiders at 8.3 wins, the Steelers and Cowboys both at 7.7 wins, and the Panthers last at 5.5 wins. **Claimed:** Jul 25, 2025 **Pundit:** Aaron Schatz — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/aaron-schatz **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/7-surprising-team-projections 13 checkable claims — 7 season win totals, 3 division winners, 2 depth chart calls and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 13 have settled, averaging 46.1 out of 100, against 48.3 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Let's say you combine that with the really easy schedule, you have a division champion. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **San Francisco 49ers to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Washington Commanders to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Brock Bowers to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **you have them in your overall DVOA projections for the year. The Eagles as the seventh best team in the NFL, So not that much different than where Washington is at five... the Panthers are dead last... You have the Saints projected to be like the thirtieth best team in the league.** - Kind: Power Rankings - Verdict: scored 30 out of 100, against 60 for a naive guess - **Tre Harris to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tre Harris, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess - **Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 7.7 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 54 out of 100, against 85 for a naive guess - **Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 8.3 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess - **San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11.2 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 84 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess - **Washington Commanders to finish with 10.6 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 9 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Dallas Cowboys to finish with 7.7 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 86 out of 100, against 85 for a naive guess - **Carolina Panthers to finish with 5.5 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Brock Bowers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brock-bowers - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Tre Harris — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tre-harris - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/panthers ## What others said about the same people - Jake Ciely on Mike Evans: On a Fantasy Pros free-agency show, Jake Seely gave his projected 2026 landing spots for a long list of free agents, including Aaron Rodgers to Minnesota, Daniel Jones back to Indianapolis, Malik Willis to Miami, Alec Pierce to the Raiders, Mike Evans to the 49ers, Deebo Samuel to Pittsburgh, Kenneth Walker to Arizona, Breece Hall to Kansas City and Kyle Pitts and Dallas Goedert re-signing with their current teams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9c205f56-6491-4dfc-8372-f92cf488d31f (scored 100) - Randy Gurzi on Justin Barron: Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player he expects Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. He also predicts Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a37588ef-f76e-4f06-a951-a85a563271d5 (scored 0) - John Shipley on Jalen McLeod: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0) - Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 0) - Seth Walder on Kayshon Boutte: Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0263bd78-6c5c-41c5-8615-0467d8ef521a (scored 0) - Garrett Podell on Stefon Diggs: A CBS Sports report frames Stefon Diggs as filling Washington's vacant No. 2 receiver role opposite Terry McLaurin after his reported one-year deal, expecting him in that spot in the 2026 passing game with Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bc79861b-dbde-474e-9d55-bf50f7b766d2 (scored 100) ## More season win totals The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ec43b02b-8e3a-4b2e-8c36-1839c9c52e3c (scored 40) - Nick Wright on New England Patriots: Nick Wright walked through the Browns' quarterback situation and then gave leans and bets on every AFC team's win total, offering concrete win-count expectations for several clubs plus a call on Brock Bowers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e745abb-ae8f-4f8c-893e-bfb5d53589b1 (scored 20) - Colin Cowherd on New England Patriots: Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e32a708a-5651-4292-b71b-672f2216a48e (scored 0) - John Middlekauff on New England Patriots: Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/af06c2e6-9beb-4a7e-b444-620680dbccd1 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Denver Broncos: Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cc9d1905-c3e9-4d7f-8dbb-0f840dbb7535 (scored 20) - Richard Sherman on Detroit Lions: Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fd0cf59d-3729-4865-8641-02792d0b6b24 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=aaron-schatz