# Nick Wright: Nick Wright unveiled his full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. He also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games. **Claimed:** Apr 23, 2026 **Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright **Outlet:** First Things First (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/FOXM9501593377.mp3?updated=1776986030 36 checkable claims — 33 mock draft picks, 1 position order call, 1 positional finishe and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 59 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 34 of 36 have settled so far, averaging 72.5 out of 100, against 48.8 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1. > With the first pick in Nick Wright's NFL mock draft four point o, the Las Vegas Raiders select Fernando Mendoza, quarterback, Indiana University. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 25** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **David Bailey to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Blake Miller to be picked at number 24** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: K.C. Concepcion, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Cashius Howell to be picked at number 31** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cashius Howell, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 9.48 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Cade McDonald to be picked at number 26** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cade McDonald, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 19** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 59.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 16** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 2.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be picked “top 45” (picks 1–45)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 15** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **C.J. Allen to be picked at number 20** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Allen, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 23.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 23** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Omar Cooper to be picked at number 22** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Omar Cooper, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 21** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 18** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 17.68 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 32** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Avieon Terrell, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 56.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 28** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Iheanachor, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 29** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to finish top 14 at his position, by passing yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: too vague to check - **Miami Dolphins to finish with 2 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Miami Dolphins - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bears - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants - Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/blake-miller - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns - K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Cashius Howell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cashius-howell - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets - Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/panthers - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - C.J. Allen — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/c-j-allen - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Omar Cooper — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/omar-cooper - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions - Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Avieon Terrell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/avieon-terrell - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane - Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman - Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Max Iheanachor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/max-iheanachor - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans - Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston ## What others said about the same people - Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0) - Chris Brockman on Baker Mayfield: Brockman's season-preview overreactions: Fernando Mendoza becomes an Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist; Dak Prescott wins MVP and the Cowboys win the Super Bowl; Jesse Minter's Ravens win the AFC North; C.J. Stroud leads Houston to the AFC's No. 1 seed; Jonathan Taylor approaches 2,000 rushing yards; Baker Mayfield wins the NFC South, goes 12-5 and reaches the NFC title game while landing a $60 million-per-year deal; and Aaron Rodgers throws 35-plus touchdowns as the Steelers go 11-6 and win the North. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d508736e-a824-4fa0-854c-df4ebdd9ef02 (scored 100) - Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100) - Jon Gruden on Baker Mayfield: The former Buccaneers head coach predicted that Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield are closer on a new contract than believed and that an extension will get done. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10bb8ff2-886c-488e-b693-fb4ea9dd5880 (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Rob Rang on Jeremiah Smith: Rang ranks the four headline prospects from the Texas-Ohio State game in the order he'd draft them (Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Cam Coleman, Julian Sayin) and assigns each a draft grade: Smith and Manning as top-5 picks, Coleman top 10, and Sayin a third-rounder. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd619cef-1878-4067-9021-a5ec734d35ed (scored 0) - Gregg Rosenthal on Brandon Doughty: Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus he expects Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/16ab5f5d-0f01-48ee-a1df-63c1b1996dc3 (scored 2.63) - Peter Bukowski on Gennings Dunker: Bukowski breaks down Iowa offensive lineman Jennings Dunker as a Packers fit and puts a late second-/early third-round grade on him, noting that range overlaps where Green Bay picks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f77d920f-e5fe-4684-83b6-9105b6304d5b (scored 100) - Damian Parson on Zachariah Branch: Locked On's draft analyst laid out where several prospects should land in the upcoming draft: Zachariah Branch as a Day 2/third-round target for the Chargers, Penn State's top offensive lineman gone well before pick 22 (ideally 14 to Baltimore), Akeem Mesador and Malachi Lawrence as first-round edge rushers, Derrick Moore as a Day 2 edge, and Texas's left tackle as a top-10 pick next year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b352f2ad-cf9f-4086-8229-68786b3029cf (scored 100) - Ollie Connolly on Kyle Louis: Connelly assesses the 2026 draft class: he sees Jeremiah Love as a top-ten most productive player at running back with an Ezekiel Elliott-to-Bijan/McCaffrey range, projects Fernando Mendoza as a top-8-to-12 starting QB in the league, pegs Ty Simpson as a top-of-the-second-round pick he'd only be comfortable taking in the third, and slots various tight ends and late running backs into specific rounds. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/451a3983-ef51-4051-988d-6842523d646b (scored 19.28) - Gregg Rosenthal on Eli Stowers: Rosenthal is bullish on Jeremiah Love as a near-certain hit worth a top pick, thinks Kenyon Sadik won't last long on the board and could go in the top fifteen, expects Garrett Nusmeyer to have a long NFL career as a good backup, and pegs Eli Stowers as a third-to-fourth-round type player. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3a597cb9-b56b-4f68-aedd-608eb30191cd (scored 62.09) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright