# Jordan Reid: In his seven-round ESPN mock draft, Reed projected Fernando Mendoza first overall to the Raiders, had Monroe Freeling going 17th to Detroit as its future tackle, and gave the Lions Michigan edge Derrick Moore at No. 50, with a full slate of other first-round tackle projections.

**Claimed:** Apr 20, 2026
**Pundit:** Jordan Reid — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jordan-reid
**Outlet:** Locked On Lions (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-lions-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/a0cc13/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/05bcf1ce-c643-45f9-b7f9-bd4cf110ab06/episodes/3c0963bc-818a-44d5-996c-5904e423e303/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=05bcf1ce-c643-45f9-b7f9-bd4cf110ab06&awEpisodeId=3c0963bc-818a-44d5-996c-5904e423e303&feed=ASw0G4io

14 checkable claims — 14 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 25 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 14 have settled, averaging 86.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So at number 17 in Jordan reads, espn.com mock draft, He is the lion selecting Monroe Freeling, the tackle from Georgia.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **David Bailey to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Blake Miller to be picked at number 24**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Derrick Moore to be picked at number 50**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Derrick Moore, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **D'Angelo Ponds to be picked at number 51**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: D'Angelo Ponds
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 30**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Iheanachor, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 28**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/blake-miller
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Derrick Moore — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/derrick-moore
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets
- D'Angelo Ponds — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/d-angelo-ponds
- Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Max Iheanachor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/max-iheanachor
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano
- Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling

## What others said about the same people

- Tracy Sandler on Baltimore Ravens: Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74f12600-9587-488a-af00-2e8c11643531 (scored 100)
- Carmen Vitali on Baltimore Ravens: In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/948bc684-6a05-4cb4-a5ff-72861da00102 (scored 100)
- John Middlekauff on Tennessee Titans: Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8115d255-82e3-442e-aeef-c3eaa3587603 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Baltimore Ravens: On his Week 3 pick show, Nick Wright gave straight-up final-score predictions for five games, calling blowouts by Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami, a Jacksonville home win over New England, a narrow New Orleans win over the Raiders and a low-scoring Baltimore win over Dallas in Brazil. He also called Seattle the best team in the NFL with the league's best defense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/afa6070a-4229-4b28-a922-31d609ad1adf (scored 100)
- Chris Broussard on Las Vegas Raiders: Broussard picked the Bills to beat the Chargers in a competitive, higher-scoring game, said the Chiefs will rout the Dolphins, and for upset alert parlayed the Patriots over the Jaguars and the Raiders over the Saints. He also restated his Cowboys-versus-Ravens Super Bowl matchup pick. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dee7585c-6da6-4afc-9954-ff32cf8de4e3 (scored 100)
- Kevin Wildes on New York Jets: For upset alert Wildes took the Broncos to beat the Rams straight up in Denver and added the Jets to beat the Lions straight up. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/35bc2cfa-9927-43ce-be97-5c73bb6517fd (scored 0)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Nick Shook on Dillon Thieneman: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 56.94)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Makai Lemon: Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 (scored 95.76)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=jordan-reid
