# Gregg Rosenthal: Rosenthal expects Liam Cohen to become the Jaguars' next head coach, and predicts the Jaguars won't necessarily win on the field in 2025. Against the spread he takes the Commanders plus six, and he picks the Bills to beat the Chiefs 31-28, having also picked Buffalo to win the Super Bowl. **Claimed:** Jan 24, 2025 **Pundit:** Gregg Rosenthal — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/nfl-conference-championship-spread-picks-with-cynt 4 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 game outcome pick, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. All 4 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 87.1 for a naive guess at the same calls. > They're not going to be the worst the best team that hasn't made the super Bowl because they are going to make the super Bowl and they win it by three points. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Buffalo Bills 31 — Chiefs 28** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 98.28 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to beat Chiefs** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills ## What others said about the same people - Brandon Carney on Mike Evans: Carney predicted AJ Brown would not be back with the Eagles, forecast a wave of free-agent landing spots (Breece Hall to the Chiefs, Alec Pierce to the 49ers, Rico Dowdle to the Saints, George Pickens to the Patriots, Mike Evans to the Bills), and named Week 1 starting quarterbacks for several teams in flux. He also gave fantasy takes on Javonte Williams, Chris Olave and others. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9337347d-fde9-46c9-9bb6-26ade467538b (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Buffalo Bills: Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/00ed9114-0e69-4e26-9fb2-4e5e3893c56e (scored 100) - Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picks the Bills 31-27 over the Lions and the Eagles to beat the Titans 27-17. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a81fc2f3-5937-4fe2-b19f-098cffc7a412 (scored 85.71) - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picks the Bills 36-30 over the Lions and the Texans to beat the Bengals 27-23 in Houston. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6937b9aa-572a-4449-821a-32af833332f6 (scored 90.48) - Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picks the Bills to win a shootout over the Lions 35-32 and takes the Patriots to beat the Steelers 21-13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd11d340-9a85-435f-ba75-832fd87185ab (scored 83.33) - John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picks the Bills to beat the Lions 38-31 on Thursday night, floats the game as a Super Bowl preview, and takes the Cardinals to upset the Seahawks 20-17 in Week 2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f42c4080-99e0-449b-b2fa-05e18ce6f922 (scored 92.86) ## More conference champions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Brockman on Seattle Seahawks: Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7755a3be-efa7-417e-aefe-47d37d5fb067 (scored 100) - Damonza Byrd on Seattle Seahawks: The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c59694cc-b2ff-401f-ae64-3313b822cd5a (scored 100) - Nick Wright on New England Patriots: The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5d16f975-ba4e-46f4-8717-8962b81c5bdf (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Denver Broncos: Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/afd8c9a0-6068-4bfc-8dac-3bcc196f1231 (scored 50) - AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70ca2972-53a1-4559-bd03-94c5fede2f4e (scored 50) - Derek Murphy on Seattle Seahawks: Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a5f623b2-e1e6-4687-b345-df2d9f35641f (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=gregg-rosenthal