# Marcus Mosher: Mosher names four running backs as 2024 breakout candidates: Zamir White as the Raiders' lead back, Chase Brown in an expanded Bengals role, Brian Robinson Jr. posting huge numbers in Washington's new offense, and Rico Dowdle leading the Cowboys in touches with a 1,000-yard season. **Claimed:** May 16, 2024 **Pundit:** Marcus Mosher — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marcus-mosher **Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/2024-nfl-predictions-who-will-be-this-years-breakout-running-backs/ 4 checkable claims — 3 depth chart calls and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 4 have settled, averaging 90.1 out of 100, against 68.8 for a naive guess at the same calls. > If Dowdle stays healthy, he should post 1,000 yards and be a key cog for one of the NFC's best teams. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Rico Dowdle to record 1,000 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Rico Dowdle, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 85.36 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Zack Moss to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Zack Moss, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Rico Dowdle to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Rico Dowdle, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Zamir White to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Zamir White, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Rico Dowdle — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rico-dowdle - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Zack Moss — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/zack-moss - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Zamir White — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/zamir-white - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders ## What others said about the same people - Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 0) - Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0) - Brandon Carney on Stefon Diggs: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 0) - Nick Shook on Dillon Thieneman: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 56.94) - Carmen Vitali on Trey Hendrickson: Vitally pegs Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles as probably a top-five pick in this year's draft, and expects the Bengals to lose Trey Hendrickson in free agency. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e112e602-025f-411c-87a6-0e8af5a5667a (scored 100) - Colin Cowherd on Dallas Cowboys: Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd243624-9451-4824-a8a4-7b468d681c8f (scored 100) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tyler Sullivan on Deshaun Watson: An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/054d7c3e-baca-4414-b3dd-72c4eced2725 (scored 100) - Ryan Wilson on Deshaun Watson: A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ff870e69-9992-4166-aa81-9b49d6f77f55 (scored 100) - Rafael Zamorano on Deshaun Watson: Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/80cb396b-8dbf-4e39-bd65-6d25df403db1 (scored 100) - John Breech on Deshaun Watson: The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e520b2b-bf4e-4a82-9743-7cb7bc3ee125 (scored 100) - Mark Chichester on Deshaun Watson: Unsigned PFF piece reporting/asserting that Deshaun Watson will be Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback against Jacksonville, with Shedeur Sanders behind him on the depth chart. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ef347873-c28b-4a47-bb04-2488937cd3cf (scored 100) - Zachary Pereles on Deshaun Watson: The unsigned recap argues Sanders clearly outplayed Watson and, even if Sanders isn't named the Week 1 starter, predicts both quarterbacks will see significant playing time in 2026. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1b6d3216-38ff-4922-9e0a-807497573121 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=marcus-mosher