# Cynthia Frelund: Freeland's model picks Cincinnati to beat Jacksonville by about six at home, New England to win at Miami, and Denver to beat Indianapolis on the strength of its defense; the model also has Minnesota beating Atlanta by three and Pittsburgh beating Seattle by two. She reiterated her Super Bowl pick of the Bills over the Eagles. **Claimed:** Sep 12, 2025 **Pundit:** Cynthia Frelund — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/cynthia-frelund **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/week-2-picks-with-cynthia-frelund 7 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 7 have settled, averaging 28.6 out of 100, against 28.6 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I think Cincinnati wins by more than three and a half points at home against the Jacks. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **New England Patriots to beat Miami** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Seattle** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Minnesota Vikings to beat Atlanta** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Denver Broncos to beat Colts** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Jacksonville** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills ## What others said about the same people - Trevor Ripley on Dillon Bell: Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/529718b4-3310-4bc4-949a-09c9600f3c48 (scored 0) - Bucky Brooks on Josh Johnson: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 0) - Jeff Kerr on Maximus Pulley: Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6ec1d507-c7b6-4873-a0a2-76817706e297 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Buffalo Bills: Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/00ed9114-0e69-4e26-9fb2-4e5e3893c56e (scored 100) - Steven Ruiz on A.J. Brown: Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f6c3a28-18bb-4f4d-beb5-061d863b4e28 (scored 100) - Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tyler Sullivan on Detroit Lions: A CBS Sports column flags five Week 2 favorites on upset alert, effectively backing the underdogs — Lions at Bills, Bengals at Texans, Jets over Packers, Jaguars at Broncos and Saints at Ravens — to pull off wins. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0ee2daf0-868b-4ffd-a252-f478174d97f6 (scored 0) - Colin Cowherd on Detroit Lions: The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") gave his own Week 2 picks: Seattle, the Niners in dominant fashion, his Lions over Buffalo, Cincinnati 31-27 at Houston, Chicago, Pittsburgh 24-21 as a road upset, Jacksonville by at least a touchdown, Dallas 26-22, and Kansas City handily. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5e7a2965-bd9c-4c78-81b8-cb9ff18f6520 (scored 0) - Kevin Wildes on Detroit Lions: Kevin picked every game and came out with the Bills missing the playoffs, the Texans as the AFC's No. 1 seed and the Seahawks as the NFC's, Dak Prescott as MVP, and the Patriots beating the Lions in the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/989d3882-a69f-47c8-9295-1924f6ff4e6c (scored 0) - John Pluym on Kansas City Chiefs: Pluym's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e7e5c159-21f2-4766-92de-857294ef51cf (scored 100) - Matt Verderame on Kansas City Chiefs: Verderame's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e4f51f97-310d-4665-a47e-fdab93ff1fd1 (scored 100) - Mike Kadlick on Kansas City Chiefs: Kadlick's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/934613ff-97e3-4894-a383-faa755bdfc35 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=cynthia-frelund