# Justin Penik: Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants. **Claimed:** Mar 6, 2025 **Pundit:** Justin Penik — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/justin-penik **Outlet:** The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-dan-patrick-show-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/football-today-jomboy-media/nfl-free-agency-predictions 9 checkable claims — 8 trade and signing calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 9.5 out of 100, against 53.6 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Sam Donald is gonna go to the Pittsburgh Steelers. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Jamien Sherwood to move to Washington Commanders** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jamien Sherwood, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Darius Slayton to move to Los Angeles Chargers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Darius Slayton, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Charvarius Ward to move to Washington Commanders** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Charvarius Ward, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to move to Pittsburgh Steelers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Zack Baun to move to Philadelphia Eagles** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Zack Baun, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Cam Robinson to move to Chicago Bears** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Cam Robinson, Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Cam Robinson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Cam Robinson, Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 66.67 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Aaron Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Aaron Jones, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Aaron Rodgers to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Aaron Rodgers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Jamien Sherwood — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jamien-sherwood - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Darius Slayton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/darius-slayton - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Charvarius Ward — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/charvarius-ward - Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Zack Baun — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/zack-baun - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Cam Robinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cam-robinson - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bears - Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers ## What others said about the same people - Trevor Ripley on Dillon Bell: Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/529718b4-3310-4bc4-949a-09c9600f3c48 (scored 0) - Jeff Kerr on Maximus Pulley: Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6ec1d507-c7b6-4873-a0a2-76817706e297 (scored 0) - Seth Walder on Kayshon Boutte: Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0263bd78-6c5c-41c5-8615-0467d8ef521a (scored 0) - Garrett Podell on Stefon Diggs: A CBS Sports report frames Stefon Diggs as filling Washington's vacant No. 2 receiver role opposite Terry McLaurin after his reported one-year deal, expecting him in that spot in the 2026 passing game with Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bc79861b-dbde-474e-9d55-bf50f7b766d2 (scored 100) - Bucky Brooks on Stefon Diggs: In a quarterback rapid-fire segment and later discussion, Brooks named starters for several clubs (Kyler Murray over JJ McCarthy in Minnesota, Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland, Tua in Atlanta, Jeremiah Love as Arizona's starting running back), called Chris Olave a No. 1 receiver, backed Stefon Diggs landing with the Commanders and Aaron Donald returning to the Rams, argued Baker Mayfield belongs among the top 15-17 quarterbacks, and published a top-five defensive tackle list topped by Jeffrey Simmons. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9538b827-fc12-4c2e-8e32-eaa69edc6c2d (scored 100) - Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0) ## More trade and signing calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 0) - Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100) - Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on A.J. Brown: Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f6c3a28-18bb-4f4d-beb5-061d863b4e28 (scored 100) - Diante Lee on A.J. Brown: A Ringer post-draft power ranking of all 32 teams for the 2026 season, ranked by how much the writer would trust each team to win the Super Bowl, with Denver picked to win the AFC, Detroit projected among the NFC's four best, and win-total calls on Pittsburgh and Miami. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d8c102e3-a8d3-4d06-bd90-4b7db78d2fa0 (scored 100) - Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=justin-penik