# Mike Florio: Florio gives score predictions for every Week 1 game of the 2026 NFL season, including an opening-night upset by the Patriots in Seattle and narrow home wins for the Giants and Chiefs. **Claimed:** Sep 9, 2026 **Pundit:** Mike Florio — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-florio **Outlet:** NBC Sports — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/nbc-sports **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/pfts-week-1-2026-nfl-picks 16 checkable claims — 16 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 16 have settled, averaging 61.5 out of 100, against 52.7 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I'd rather be wrong by being bold than to take the chalk and regret missing the potential signs for an opening-night upset. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Kansas City Chiefs 20 — Broncos 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 57.14 out of 100, against 51.93 for a naive guess - **Minnesota Vikings 30 — Packers 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 58.25 for a naive guess - **Detroit Lions 34 — Saints 24** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 78.57 out of 100, against 96.35 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans 20 — Bills 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 36.83 for a naive guess - **Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Buccaneers 24** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 84.44 for a naive guess - **Chicago Bears 24 — Panthers 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 64.29 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New York Giants 23 — Cowboys 21** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New York Giants - Verdict: scored 85.71 out of 100, against 79.68 for a naive guess - **Baltimore Ravens 24 — Colts 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 66.67 out of 100, against 5.87 for a naive guess - **Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Commanders 14** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 73.81 out of 100, against 93.97 for a naive guess - **Pittsburgh Steelers 21 — Falcons 10** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 82.06 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Chargers 27 — Cardinals 10** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 38.1 out of 100, against 20.16 for a naive guess - **Miami Dolphins 13 — Raiders 10** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 23.81 out of 100, against 65.4 for a naive guess - **Tennessee Titans 20 — Jets 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 26.19 out of 100, against 17.78 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars 28 — Browns 14** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 76.19 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams 24 — 49ers 13** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 28.57 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New England Patriots 24 — Seahawks 21** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bears - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots ## What others said about the same people - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100) - John Shipley on Jack Kiser: Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c0a52b7c-63b2-4e18-b7da-9342dbbc111f (scored 0) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100) - Nathan Jahnke on Jalen Tolbert: PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a large number of depth-chart, role and fantasy-value calls across the league, including Chig Okonkwo as a top sleeper tight end, Tre Tucker as the Raiders' top receiver, and various backfield hierarchies. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/760054fd-7815-4b86-a9e3-bc9bdb0a730b (scored 0) - Emmett Matasovsky on Christian Izien: Matasovsky says Dobbs is currently leading the backup quarterback race and suggests Christian Izien may be pressed into a starting safety role in Week 1 while Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph rehab. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9715ee92-1646-4ee4-8911-e3e4cbae9027 (scored 0) - Nathan Jahnke on Jalen Tolbert: PFF's fantasy football preseason recap projects depth-chart outcomes, roster spots and fantasy value for numerous players across several preseason games, including Chig Okonkwo's expanded role in Washington, Ja'Kobi Lane as Baltimore's WR3, Malachi Fields winning the Giants' starting X job, and Zachariah Branch being a fantasy bust relative to his late-round cost. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/22a4578b-eb92-41d2-820b-1a7eaa2e4e2f (scored 0) ## More score predictions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jared Dubin on Denver Broncos: Dubin picks Denver to win narrowly in Kansas City, 21-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b4339e96-6ced-44c2-88e9-b490d027df7b (scored 2.38) - Tyler Sullivan on Denver Broncos: Sullivan picks Denver to beat Kansas City 24-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d8636e57-b6d8-471a-a98a-75871c7ee5bf (scored 9.52) - Jordan Dajani on Denver Broncos: Dajani picks the Broncos over the Chiefs, 17-14. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/12e23aa9-d2ca-4db3-bfb0-25c09e63b1eb (scored 7.14) - John Breech on Denver Broncos: In the Pick Six newsletter, Breech picks the Broncos to upset the Chiefs on Monday night, 23-21. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/31f3511a-a211-46e0-a6dd-d2cfb70ee207 (scored 4.76) - Jared Dubin on Denver Broncos: The unbylined CBS Sports preview picks Denver to win at Arrowhead in Week 1, 21-20, and expects Kenneth Walker III to be Kansas City's lead back while Jaylen Waddle serves as Bo Nix's top receiving target in Denver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cdfdacff-d438-489d-bad2-1d9587b82609 (scored 2.38) - Jordan Dajani on Denver Broncos: Dajani picks the Rams over the 49ers, Texans over Bills, Ravens over Colts, Bengals over Buccaneers, Vikings over Packers, Cowboys over Giants and Broncos over Chiefs in Week 1, with exact scores. He also predicts the Bills win the AFC East, the Cowboys win their division, and Caleb Downs wins Defensive Rookie of the Year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f6565d23-03db-4e60-a574-21a0b86dafb0 (scored 7.14) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=mike-florio