# Derek Brown: In his Week 1 fantasy primer, Brown projects Rhamondre Stevenson to keep the Patriots' lead back role over TreVeyon Henderson, names roles for several receivers, calls for QB1/TE1 weeks from Tyler Shough, Brock Purdy, Juwan Johnson and Sam LaPorta, and flags a series of Week 1 starts and sits.

**Claimed:** Sep 8, 2026
**Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/derek-brown
**Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fantasypros
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/09/the-primer-week-1-edition-2026-fantasy-football/

22 checkable claims — 8 fantasy bust calls, 6 depth chart calls, 4 positional finishes and 4 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 26 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 6 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 5.

> Especially out of the gate for the 2026 season, I expect Rhamondre Stevenson to retain the lead back role.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Cade Otton to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Cade Otton, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Bryce Lance to be 3rd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Bryce Lance, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Juwan Johnson to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Juwan Johnson, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Sam LaPorta to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Bryce Lance to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Bryce Lance, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Devaughn Vele to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Devaughn Vele, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Rashid Shaheed to fall short of his draft cost**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rashid Shaheed, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **TreVeyon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Hunter Henry to fall short of his draft cost**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Hunter Henry, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **AJ Barner to fall short of his draft cost**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: AJ Barner, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **De'Zhaun Stribling to fall short of his draft cost**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: De'Zhaun Stribling, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Terrance Ferguson to fall short of his draft cost**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Terrance Ferguson, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Cooper Kupp to fall short of his draft cost**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Cooper Kupp, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Brock Purdy to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Travis Etienne to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Travis Etienne, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **TreVeyon Henderson to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Romeo Doubs to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Romeo Doubs, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **De'Zhaun Stribling to be 4th on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: De'Zhaun Stribling, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyler Shough to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jadarian Price to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jadarian Price, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **George Kittle to fall short of his draft cost**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Cade Otton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cade-otton
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Bryce Lance — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bryce-lance
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Juwan Johnson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/juwan-johnson
- Sam LaPorta — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sam-laporta
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Devaughn Vele — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/devaughn-vele
- Rashid Shaheed — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rashid-shaheed
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Hunter Henry — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/hunter-henry
- AJ Barner — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aj-barner
- De'Zhaun Stribling — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/de-zhaun-stribling
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Terrance Ferguson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/terrance-ferguson
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Cooper Kupp — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cooper-kupp
- Brock Purdy — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brock-purdy
- Travis Etienne — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/travis-etienne
- Rhamondre Stevenson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson
- Romeo Doubs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/romeo-doubs
- Tyler Shough — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tyler-shough
- Jadarian Price — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jadarian-price
- George Kittle — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/george-kittle

## What others said about the same people

- Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0)
- Chris Brockman on Baker Mayfield: Brockman's season-preview overreactions: Fernando Mendoza becomes an Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist; Dak Prescott wins MVP and the Cowboys win the Super Bowl; Jesse Minter's Ravens win the AFC North; C.J. Stroud leads Houston to the AFC's No. 1 seed; Jonathan Taylor approaches 2,000 rushing yards; Baker Mayfield wins the NFC South, goes 12-5 and reaches the NFC title game while landing a $60 million-per-year deal; and Aaron Rodgers throws 35-plus touchdowns as the Steelers go 11-6 and win the North. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d508736e-a824-4fa0-854c-df4ebdd9ef02 (scored 100)
- Jon Gruden on Baker Mayfield: The former Buccaneers head coach predicted that Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield are closer on a new contract than believed and that an extension will get done. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10bb8ff2-886c-488e-b693-fb4ea9dd5880 (scored 100)
- Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 100)
- Emmett Matasovsky on Christian Izien: Matasovsky says Dobbs is currently leading the backup quarterback race and suggests Christian Izien may be pressed into a starting safety role in Week 1 while Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph rehab. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9715ee92-1646-4ee4-8911-e3e4cbae9027 (scored 0)
- Michael Hanich on Bud Clark: Hanich suggests Nick Emmanwori may miss Week 1 after ankle surgery, and that Noah Igbinoghene is making a strong case to be the Seahawks' Week 1 starting nickel, with Bud Clark also possibly stepping into a starting role if Emmanwori is out. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c15b8321-a10e-421f-8076-039ca96a05a8 (scored 0)

## More fantasy bust calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Mike Harmon on Joe Burrow: Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e2e20c82-d482-48e6-90f3-929d0862fc0d (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Ashton Jeanty: Warmley predicted Kyle Pitts and Trey McBride both finish as top-five tight ends in the Cardinals-Falcons game, Justin Jefferson bounces back into the top 15 receivers, Quinshen Judkins finishes top 12 against Buffalo, the Ravens beat the Patriots, and the Raiders produce no startable fantasy players against Houston. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7c3c1a97-4a04-4870-8118-181815ff8c47 (scored 0)
- Patrick Claybon on Aaron Rodgers: Claibon says Aaron Rodgers' deep-passing outburst was a one-week product of Baltimore's defense and won't continue, still endorses starting Jacoby Brissett in a tough Houston matchup, and picks Devon Achane as the top running back and AJ Brown as the top receiver for Week 15. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/13d54729-d582-4201-9440-31f8510c7305 (scored 100)
- Marcas Grant on Michael Pittman: Grant calls Christian Watson the Packers' clear No. 1 receiver and RJ Harvey Denver's lead back, while labeling Mike Gesicki's and Tony Pollard's big weeks mirages to avoid; he also wants no part of Colts pass catchers with Philip Rivers signing. For Week 15 he picks Matthew Stafford as the top quarterback and Puka Nacua among the top receivers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d990340b-36f2-4842-81d8-d08a5f3db65a (scored 0)
- Andrew Erickson on Garrett Wilson: Erickson reiterated his prediction that Jordan Mason will lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns, backed the Broncos to blow out the Titans in Week 1, called Garrett Wilson a sell and Jacoby Myers a buy-low, expects little from Cooper Kupp, and made several depth-chart calls (Thornton starting in New England, Myers as Vegas' No. 1 receiver, Croskey-Merritt eventually taking the Commanders' 'A back' role). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3809e587-6fa2-464b-ab98-fd96d353c1bd (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Zay Flowers: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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