# Ross Jackson: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. **Claimed:** Jan 19, 2026 **Pundit:** Ross Jackson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ross-jackson **Outlet:** Locked On Saints (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-saints-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/83ac39/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/26a658f6-15f1-4878-ab5f-d78d7d886aa9/episodes/cb818491-fd07-4f31-b6fc-7b72a86290a0/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=26a658f6-15f1-4878-ab5f-d78d7d886aa9&awEpisodeId=cb818491-fd07-4f31-b6fc-7b72a86290a0&feed=aKgoC4uX 4 checkable claims — 3 player season numbers and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 4 have settled, averaging 9.2 out of 100, against 69.7 for a naive guess at the same calls. > But if you get either one of those jumps in the second year out of Tyler Shuck going into 2026, that's a playoff season for the New Orleans Saints. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Tyler Shough to record 4,601 passing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 3.63 out of 100, against 38.57 for a naive guess - **Tyler Shough to record 24 passing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 46.58 for a naive guess - **Tyler Shough to record 9 passing interceptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 93.65 for a naive guess - **New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Tyler Shough — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tyler-shough - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints ## What others said about the same people - Nick Wright on New Orleans Saints: On his Week 3 pick show, Nick Wright gave straight-up final-score predictions for five games, calling blowouts by Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami, a Jacksonville home win over New England, a narrow New Orleans win over the Raiders and a low-scoring Baltimore win over Dallas in Brazil. He also called Seattle the best team in the NFL with the league's best defense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/afa6070a-4229-4b28-a922-31d609ad1adf (scored 33.33) - Dan Beyer on New Orleans Saints: For his Week 3 survivor pick, he took the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, saying he doesn't see Las Vegas staying unbeaten. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fdedf503-5121-4109-b003-d5c980b00456 (scored 0) - Darrion Gray on New Orleans Saints: Predicted the Saints beat the Raiders 27-17 at home. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/778eb604-cf02-49f1-8468-fbc8b0798375 (scored 45.24) - John Hendricks on New Orleans Saints: Predicted a lower-scoring Saints win over the Raiders, 24-19, with the defense carrying them. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5d6f55b1-d993-4659-a8b9-d95c6942875e (scored 42.86) - Lance Moore on New Orleans Saints: Called for a Saints victory over the Raiders by a score of 27-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/92c9e860-f1af-4e13-a82c-80d31fa7be6e (scored 47.62) - Dylan Sanders on New Orleans Saints: Picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home in Week 3 by a score of 31-17, with New Orleans getting off to a fast start. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/08fe8765-1b52-40ed-85f5-0cd67b45de1b (scored 35.71) ## More player season numbers The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Broussard on Lamar Jackson: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9a8b5cea-9f2f-46f0-9939-72c2a60e4c26 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/029b0090-8d3f-47de-9fb9-7f0a02320f3a (scored 84) - Shannon Sharpe on T.J. Watt: On a Bengals-Steelers matchup, Sharpe took the over on several player props: Ja'Marr Chase over 74.5 receiving yards, Joe Flacco over 36.5 pass attempts, and T.J. Watt over 3.5 tackles+assists, adding that Watt will get two sacks. He also predicted Rico Dowdle would make the Pro Bowl this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1fbc5b8e-7449-41f4-a5a2-7029cc4ef65e (scored 0) - Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25) - Daniel Jeremiah on Nick Emmanwori: Jeremiah walked through his mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. He also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c5de01a8-6e40-436d-9e04-07e1d39e54ae (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=ross-jackson