# Nick Wright: Nick Wright lays out his season win-total picks (overs on Jaguars, Bears, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, Falcons; unders on Bengals, Colts, Broncos, Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers), playoff berth and miss calls, three division winners, a Chiefs-over-Buccaneers Super Bowl exacta, and five Week 1 picks. **Claimed:** Sep 6, 2025 **Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/whats-wright-with-nick-wright/best-of-nick-wrights-nfl-week-1-picks-predicting-chiefs-super-bowl-opponent-belichick-debut 30 checkable claims — 7 season win totals, 5 game outcome picks, 5 playoff picks, 4 division winners, 2 conference champions, 2 score predictions, 1 power ranking, 1 seeding, byes and home field, 1 super bowl pick, 1 surprise team call and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 28 of 30 have settled so far, averaging 28.9 out of 100, against 26 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Tampa over nine and a half is probably my favorite bet of all of these. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Cleveland** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Chargers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed** - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Baltimore Ravens to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Cincinnati Bengals 21 — Cleveland 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 47.55 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to win the division** - Kind: Division Winners · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **San Francisco 49ers to finish with 7 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 8 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 11 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 40 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess - **Las Vegas Raiders to beat New England** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Chicago Bears to finish with 9 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 15 for a naive guess - **Buffalo Bills to beat Baltimore** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Indianapolis Colts to pick at number 1** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 10.51 out of 100, against 18.46 for a naive guess - **Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 95 for a naive guess - **Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 20 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **I think the Chiefs are the best team in football. I think the Chargers are around the fourteenth best team in football.** - Kind: Power Rankings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Miami Dolphins to beat Colts** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **New York Giants to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: New York Giants - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Las Vegas Raiders 21 — New England 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 85.71 out of 100, against 38.16 for a naive guess - **Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations** - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kansas City Chiefs to finish with ? wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: too vague to check ## Who this take is about - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bears - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/colts - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants ## What others said about the same people - Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100) - Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 0) - Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0) - Mike Tannenbaum on Stefon Diggs: Tannenbaum argues the Chiefs should lean on the run game early while Mahomes recovers, says the Bills haven't done enough at receiver and would repeat their playoff shortcoming, expects AJ Brown to have a massive impact in New England, thinks George Pickens will earn a big raise, and offers free-agent fits: Deebo Samuel to Buffalo, Joey Bosa to Tampa Bay, Taylor Decker to Houston, and Stefon Diggs to San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f7a29c18-face-49c0-b84f-33715b4c6678 (scored 0) - Brandon Carney on Stefon Diggs: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 0) - Nick Shook on Olaivavega Ioane: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 35.36) ## More season win totals The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Colin Cowherd on Dallas Cowboys: Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd243624-9451-4824-a8a4-7b468d681c8f (scored 100) - Richard Sherman on Green Bay Packers: Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ec43b02b-8e3a-4b2e-8c36-1839c9c52e3c (scored 40) - Colin Cowherd on New England Patriots: Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e32a708a-5651-4292-b71b-672f2216a48e (scored 0) - John Middlekauff on New England Patriots: Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/af06c2e6-9beb-4a7e-b444-620680dbccd1 (scored 0) - Richard Sherman on Detroit Lions: Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fd0cf59d-3729-4865-8641-02792d0b6b24 (scored 100) - Chris Brockman on Carolina Panthers: Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bf1a843e-6b29-497e-b58c-b8394d790374 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright