# David Harrison: Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.

**Claimed:** Apr 23, 2026
**Pundit:** David Harrison — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/david-harrison
**Outlet:** Locked On Commanders (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-commanders-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/7c3048/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252/episodes/c0c72c09-ecc4-4d3c-b330-d518e64144a1/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252&awEpisodeId=c0c72c09-ecc4-4d3c-b330-d518e64144a1&feed=psq7p3Ar

42 checkable claims — 38 mock draft picks, 2 position order calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 65 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

41 of 42 have settled so far, averaging 71.8 out of 100, against 47 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Fernando Mendoza, number two overall, New York Jets. I think they're going edge Arvel Reese out of Ohio State here.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Eli Heidenreich to be picked “Seventh round” (picks 217–257)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Eli Heidenreich, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Blake Miller to be picked at number 21**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Logan Jones to be picked at number 147**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Logan Jones, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 2.03 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Harold Perkins to be picked at number 187**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Harold Perkins, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 29.73 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be 2nd wide receiver off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 11.45 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kamari Ramsey to be picked at number 71**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kamari Ramsey, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 4.82 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **T.J. Hall to be picked at number 209**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Hall, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **C.J. Allen to be picked at number 26**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Allen, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 31.05 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 25**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 23.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 11**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 22**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Avieon Terrell, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 32.42 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Omar Cooper to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Omar Cooper, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 20**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 24**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Iheanachor, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Christen Miller to be picked at number 28**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Christen Miller, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **T.J. Parker to be picked at number 29**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 30**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Zion Young to be picked at number 31**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Zion Young, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Treydan Stukes to be picked at number 54**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Treydan Stukes, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be 1st offensive tackle off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Spencer Fano, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 17.05 for a naive guess
- **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 12**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 19**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 13**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 15**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 18**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 40.26 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Nick Allegretti to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Nick Allegretti, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Eli Heidenreich — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/eli-heidenreich
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/blake-miller
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Logan Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/logan-jones
- Harold Perkins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/harold-perkins
- Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Kamari Ramsey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kamari-ramsey
- T.J. Hall — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/t-j-hall
- C.J. Allen — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/c-j-allen
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Avieon Terrell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/avieon-terrell
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Omar Cooper — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/omar-cooper
- Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Max Iheanachor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/max-iheanachor
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs
- Christen Miller — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/christen-miller
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling
- Zion Young — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/zion-young
- Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson
- Treydan Stukes — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/treydan-stukes
- Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano
- Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor
- Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Nick Allegretti — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/nick-allegretti

## What others said about the same people

- Richie Bradshaw on San Francisco 49ers: Bradshaw picks the 49ers to beat the Cardinals in their Week 3 matchup, predicting a final score of 27-14 in San Francisco's favor. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/56e0c2a3-ddff-46f8-8359-2a546546a29c (scored 83.33)
- Carmen Vitali on Buffalo Bills: In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/948bc684-6a05-4cb4-a5ff-72861da00102 (scored 100)
- Tracy Sandler on Baltimore Ravens: Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74f12600-9587-488a-af00-2e8c11643531 (scored 100)
- John Middlekauff on Kansas City Chiefs: Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8115d255-82e3-442e-aeef-c3eaa3587603 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Fitzmaurice gave rest-of-season positional rankings for several Chiefs and other skill players, including Mahomes as his QB10, Kenneth Walker as RB4 behind Gibbs, Bijan and McCaffrey, Kelce at TE8 and Worthy down at WR50, and he picked Tampa Bay to beat Minnesota 21-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/31b15133-9938-492f-a5a8-48d1dd02b911 (scored 35.71)
- Derek Brown on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Brown laid out aggressive rest-of-season positional rankings — Mahomes QB8, Kenneth Walker RB3, Kelce up to TE7, Rashee Rice all the way down at WR31 and Worthy at WR42 — called Drake London a WR1 with Penix back, and picked Tampa Bay 21-18 over Minnesota while declaring Zay Flowers will not play in Brazil. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/889acfb2-8238-4174-89cb-a194ff0948ff (scored 40.48)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Nick Shook on Jermod McCoy: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 1.94)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)
- Scott Bogman on Romello Height: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 18.46)
- Tom Pelissero on Ashton Jeanty: Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b7089cf4-c63d-4d43-84a4-072b1d2ee328 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=david-harrison
