# Dan Pizzuta: Pizzuta offers bold 2022 predictions: Trey Lance finishes top-10 in EPA per dropback, DK Metcalf lands top-10 in receiving yards, the Giants finish with the league's worst record, Maxx Crosby leads the NFL in sacks, Desmond Ridder outplays and starts more games than Kenny Pickett, the Panthers grab a wild card, Justin Herbert wins MVP, and the Chiefs beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl. **Claimed:** Sep 8, 2022 **Pundit:** Dan Pizzuta — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dan-pizzuta **Outlet:** Sharp Football Analysis — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/bold-predictions-nfl-2022-season-mvp-super-bowl-winner/ 9 checkable claims — 3 positional finishes, 1 award pick, 1 conference champion, 1 depth chart call, 1 playoff pick, 1 season win total and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 8 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 53.1 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls. > If we add another layer to Andy Reid's involvement, let's say the win comes over the Philadelphia Eagles. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Maxx Crosby to finish top 1 at his position, by sacks** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Maxx Crosby, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Justin Herbert to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Desmond Ridder to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Desmond Ridder, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **DK Metcalf to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: DK Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 58.33 out of 100, against 16.67 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Carolina Panthers to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Trey Lance to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Trey Lance - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New York Giants to finish with ? wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New York Giants - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Maxx Crosby — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/maxx-crosby - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Justin Herbert — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/justin-herbert - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Desmond Ridder — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/desmond-ridder - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/falcons - DK Metcalf — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dk-metcalf - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/panthers - Trey Lance — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/trey-lance - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants ## What others said about the same people - Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0) - Ralph Vacchiano on Tua Tagovailoa: Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f782be9-64d3-47cf-b054-6566e14194d6 (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on Michael Penix Jr.: In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/968b3764-11ef-41b5-a370-ff570b3219d1 (scored 0) - John Breech on Tua Tagovailoa: The unsigned Pick Six newsletter expects Seth McLaughlin to step into the Lions' starting center job with Cade Mays injured, and suggests Tua Tagovailoa is on track to be Atlanta's Week 1 starting quarterback. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a040e9f9-5016-4dce-b2b3-a4c411e950f5 (scored 0) - Jeff Kerr on Michael Carter: Kerr says several Eagles have raised their stock in camp: Darius Cooper is emerging as the team's WR4, Drew Kendall is the No. 3 interior lineman/top backup at guard and center, Willie Lampkin is in prime position to make the 53-man roster, and Michael Carter is a roster lock who could start at safety in Week 1. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/922a9343-f96d-419d-8091-49b64dd471d9 (scored 0) - Matt Okada on Tua Tagovailoa: In a PPR-framed fantasy draft guide, Okada makes a few non-fantasy claims: rookie Jeremiyah Love will be Arizona's featured back despite being listed as RB2, Tua Tagovailoa will be Atlanta's Week 1 starter, and Kyler Murray will open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8ada4169-6627-4730-a98d-6869382735d2 (scored 0) ## More positional finishes The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Brockman on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c47d130c-5598-4cd0-b546-1121046b9166 (scored 100) - Pat Gustavson on Josh Allen: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/06884586-5b21-40c8-9439-e303a3e8a806 (scored 16.67) - Rich Eisen on George Pickens: Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2b6828d6-b24c-4c65-ac95-56bf45c4ebf7 (scored 100) - Chad Ochocinco Johnson on Christian Gonzalez: Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. He also reminds listeners he called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c6469c58-b508-48d9-b72f-fe6e0d7d4da5 (scored 0) - Rich Eisen on Puka Nacua: Eisen defended his preseason call of the Packers reaching the Super Bowl, said the Chiefs will win the AFC West, called the Ravens the favorites in the AFC North, said the Colts are a playoff team, expected Denver to handle Cincinnati and the Giants to beat the winless Saints, and endorsed Puka Nacua as the league's best receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e0759bb3-fd2c-400d-8ee9-f77e5c5fe3e6 (scored 91.67) - Chris Brockman on Puka Nacua: Brockman claimed the AFC North would send only the Steelers to the playoffs, that the Chiefs will win the AFC West, that Puka Nacua is the NFL's best wide receiver, and that the Jaguars are a top-eight team; he also had a preseason prophecy of the Ravens reaching the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/224a89ec-12c3-4755-96d7-07ff3fcd3b25 (scored 91.67) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=dan-pizzuta