# Peter Schrager: Schrager picked Denver as the AFC team closing the gap on Kansas City after its free-agent additions, expects Russell Wilson to land in Pittsburgh, New York or Cleveland, believes Shedeur Sanders goes second or third overall and remains a first-round pick, and named Chase Brown and Sidney Brown as breakout players for the coming season. **Claimed:** Mar 13, 2025 **Pundit:** Peter Schrager — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/peter-schrager **Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-good-morning-football/gmfb-thursday-hour-2-which-afc-team-can-knock-off 4 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks, 1 surprise team call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 0.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I'm all in on Denver this offseason, and I think the hype is going to be real in August. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Shedeur Sanders to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shedeur Sanders - Verdict: scored 0.78 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Russell Wilson to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Russell Wilson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Shedeur Sanders to be picked “the second or third pick in this draft”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shedeur Sanders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Denver Broncos to beat expectations** - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Shedeur Sanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/shedeur-sanders - Russell Wilson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/russell-wilson - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos ## What others said about the same people - Greg Jennings on Denver Broncos: Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/420d3e29-6224-43a2-8d68-b15c864838cd (scored 100) - Lance Sanderson on Denver Broncos: Sanderson thinks Denver cleans up its play on both sides of the ball and wins a close one. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/321608f8-aa29-4e5d-bde1-b61f037eeb04 (scored 88.1) - Bob Morris on Denver Broncos: Morris expects cleaner tackling and offensive rhythm to give Denver a close win. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f55c74eb-160d-4e25-bffe-b80da0ffc07b (scored 90.48) - Zack Kelberman on Denver Broncos: Kelberman picks a narrow Broncos home win, with Bo Nix doing just enough in the clutch. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5536bef7-2446-4a4f-853d-78c659eb7ba6 (scored 85.71) - Keith Cummings on Denver Broncos: Cummings predicts Denver cleans things up and wins in overtime on a Wil Lutz field goal. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8258d3ea-47e0-42b5-b7d4-ba8b87c5d3e2 (scored 90.48) - Carl Dumler on Denver Broncos: Dumler sees the Broncos bouncing back behind the run game and the home crowd, winning on a late field goal. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5d678b42-fd27-46f9-9862-273c8ca6b771 (scored 90.48) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100) - Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on R Mason Thomas: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 59.46) - Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7) - Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=peter-schrager