# Ryan Wormeli: Ryan picks the Seahawks to cover -4.5 and to beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl, likely by a touchdown, believing Seattle is the better team. For props he likes Drake May over 37.5 rushing yards and Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 6.5 receptions, and thinks JSN probably scores a touchdown.

**Claimed:** Feb 5, 2026
**Pundit:** Ryan Wormeli — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ryan-wormeli
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/top-predictions-prop-bets-for-super-bowl-lx-ep-1951

4 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers, 1 game outcome pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 8.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So I think that the Seahawks have a better chance of winning this game by a touchdown than the Patriots do, and that is the direction I'm leaning.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 7 receptions**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 7.27 for a naive guess
- **Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Drake Maye to record 37.5 rushing yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 25.8 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Jaxon Smith-Njigba — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jaxon-smith-njigba
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/drake-maye
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots

## What others said about the same people

- Michael Hanich on Seattle Seahawks: Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/735e7874-81a3-4bde-8c8f-d718cadf6e33 (scored 100)
- Chris Broussard on New England Patriots: Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a54915e0-49e6-427b-a7a5-4feb5d0f3cbb (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on New England Patriots: Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/76dcca59-cf3e-4bfd-a7c6-66574a348a51 (scored 100)
- Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on New England Patriots: Connor predicted the Patriots would rout the Steelers at home in Week 2, expecting a heavy run game in bad weather. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/312d03b3-fae7-4f2c-8c89-a0b9978b6b39 (scored 100)
- Jordan Dajani on New England Patriots: Dajani has New England edging Pittsburgh 16-13 and the Rams beating the Giants 30-21 on a late field goal. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/39641ffd-eec4-4481-9447-b4bd25762044 (scored 66.67)
- Jonas Knox on New England Patriots: Knox took the Bears to cover against the Vikings, said New England would probably beat Pittsburgh even while taking the points, picked the Bengals to win outright in Houston, and took the Broncos over the Jaguars and the Rams over the Giants. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/56c27b64-468b-43b3-8ae8-39364973c7d6 (scored 100)

## More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 3.63)
- Chris Broussard on Lamar Jackson: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9a8b5cea-9f2f-46f0-9939-72c2a60e4c26 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/029b0090-8d3f-47de-9fb9-7f0a02320f3a (scored 84)
- Shannon Sharpe on T.J. Watt: On a Bengals-Steelers matchup, Sharpe took the over on several player props: Ja'Marr Chase over 74.5 receiving yards, Joe Flacco over 36.5 pass attempts, and T.J. Watt over 3.5 tackles+assists, adding that Watt will get two sacks. He also predicted Rico Dowdle would make the Pro Bowl this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1fbc5b8e-7449-41f4-a5a2-7029cc4ef65e (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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