# Jake Ciely: Jake Seely's blueprint starts with Puka Nacua as his No. 1 wide receiver, then leans on running back value (Chase Brown, Kyren Williams), a Terry McLaurin bounce back, a Marvin Harrison gamble, Sam LaPorta as Detroit's No. 2 target, and late upside in Dart, Addison, Downs, Coker, Kamara and Keaton Mitchell.

**Claimed:** Jul 20, 2026
**Pundit:** Jake Ciely — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jake-ciely
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/the-perfect-fantasy-football-draft-strategy-for-2026-the-top-value-picks-in-every-round-ep-2092

21 checkable claims — 13 sleeper calls, 5 positional finishes, 2 depth chart calls and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 24 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 7 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 4 and below it on 3.

> But as seventeen games with Matthew Stafford, he's probably gonna be the number one wide receiver again.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Kyren Williams to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kyren Williams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kyren Williams to outplay his draft cost (third round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kyren Williams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Terry McLaurin to outplay his draft cost (fourth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Terry McLaurin
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jordan Addison to outplay his draft cost (ninth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jordan Addison, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaxson Dart to record 600 rushing yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Jaxson Dart, New York Giants
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Puka Nacua
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Keaton Mitchell to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Keaton Mitchell, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Sam LaPorta to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (second round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (twelfth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jayden Higgins
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Terry McLaurin to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Terry McLaurin
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Sam LaPorta to outplay his draft cost (round seven)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **David Montgomery to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: David Montgomery, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Marvin Harrison Jr. to outplay his draft cost (sixth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Marvin Harrison Jr.
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jalen Coker to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jalen Coker, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **A.J. Brown to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (tenth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Josh Downs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (eleventh round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jonathon Brooks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (twelfth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jalen Coker, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaxson Dart to outplay his draft cost (eighth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jaxson Dart, New York Giants
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Alvin Kamara to outplay his draft cost (round thirteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Alvin Kamara
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Kyren Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kyren-williams
- Terry McLaurin — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/terry-mclaurin
- Jordan Addison — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordan-addison
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Jaxson Dart — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jaxson-dart
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Puka Nacua — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/puka-nacua
- Keaton Mitchell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keaton-mitchell
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Sam LaPorta — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sam-laporta
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Chase Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/chase-brown
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Jayden Higgins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jayden-higgins
- David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/marvin-harrison-jr
- Jalen Coker — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jalen-coker
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-downs
- Jonathon Brooks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jonathon-brooks
- Alvin Kamara — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/alvin-kamara

## What others said about the same people

- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100)
- Emmett Matasovsky on Christian Izien: Matasovsky says Dobbs is currently leading the backup quarterback race and suggests Christian Izien may be pressed into a starting safety role in Week 1 while Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph rehab. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9715ee92-1646-4ee4-8911-e3e4cbae9027 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback and to be one of the better quarterback values in 2026 fantasy drafts, and he likewise likes Tyler Shough as New Orleans' entrenched starter with an easy schedule. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/18bf77c0-c921-4593-997e-8405355274e9 (scored 100)
- Matt Okada on Kyler Murray: In a PPR-framed fantasy draft guide, Okada makes a few non-fantasy claims: rookie Jeremiyah Love will be Arizona's featured back despite being listed as RB2, Tua Tagovailoa will be Atlanta's Week 1 starter, and Kyler Murray will open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8ada4169-6627-4730-a98d-6869382735d2 (scored 100)
- Mike Fanelli on Kyler Murray: Fanelli ranks all 32 NFL teams for 2026 fantasy purposes, with the Bengals first and the Dolphins last, and makes assorted calls including Joe Burrow winning Comeback Player of the Year, Drake Maye leading the league in passing touchdowns, various starting-role and depth-chart projections, plus sleepers (Godwin, Travis Hunter, Jonathon Brooks) and a bust call on De'Von Achane. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2c6f6ca7-2193-4aef-8a62-e4a7f535b80a (scored 100)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Brandon Carney on Javonte Williams: Carney predicted AJ Brown would not be back with the Eagles, forecast a wave of free-agent landing spots (Breece Hall to the Chiefs, Alec Pierce to the 49ers, Rico Dowdle to the Saints, George Pickens to the Patriots, Mike Evans to the Bills), and named Week 1 starting quarterbacks for several teams in flux. He also gave fantasy takes on Javonte Williams, Chris Olave and others. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9337347d-fde9-46c9-9bb6-26ade467538b (scored 100)
- Chad Ochocinco Johnson on Saquon Barkley: Johnson says the Steelers aren't legitimate Super Bowl contenders even with Aaron Rodgers back, and that Saquon Barkley can have a bounce-back season in year nine with the Eagles competing for a championship if the offensive line stays healthy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd0eab3d-1392-41f3-a9b6-026860f9ffa5 (scored 0)
- Ross Jackson on Devaughn Vele: Ross Jackson agreed to the same Saints mock draft board — Jeremiah Love at eight, Akeem Mesador in the second, Keonte Scott at 73, Keelan Rutledge and Ted Hurst in the fourth, Xavien Harris at 148, Aaron Anderson in the fifth and Bryce Boettcher in the sixth — and also called Devon Vellet a 2026 breakout candidate. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b4c58f9f-23b8-4857-8505-17c213d3a342 (scored 0)
- Andrew Erickson on Saquon Barkley: Erickson gave his 2026 first-round board, leaning on running backs early with Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs, Ja'Marr Chase as his WR1 and Christian McCaffrey slipping to 12. He also touted Malik Nabers as a buying opportunity, projected big touchdown numbers for Burrow and Chase, and called Barkley a buy-low. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/abd0628c-1338-467b-9ac3-d89c922468eb (scored 0)
- Mike Harmon on Zay Flowers: Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e2e20c82-d482-48e6-90f3-929d0862fc0d (scored 100)
- Andrew Erickson on Audric Estimé: Erickson predicted the Chiefs could lose outright at Tennessee in a flat spot, with Tony Pollard finishing as a top-24 running back for a third straight week; he also called Darren Waller a likely TE1 in Week 16, Tetairoa McMillan a top-20 receiver against Tampa Bay, Omarion Hampton the week's RB1, Isaiah Likely a top-12 tight end in a Patriots win over the Ravens, and Audric Estime a smash flex play for the Saints. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9a86737a-7153-4055-8e85-9e8e11d49f0b (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=jake-ciely
