# Joe Marino: Marino ranks the 2026 edge rusher class for the Bills' draft board, putting Ruben Bain first with first-round grades on Bain, David Bailey and Malachi Lawrence, and assigns round-by-round grades down through LT Overton. He predicts Bailey goes in the top 10 even though he doesn't see him as that caliber of prospect.

**Claimed:** Apr 12, 2026
**Pundit:** Joe Marino — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-marino
**Outlet:** Locked On Bills (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-bills-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/8c06ff/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/d5c86183-3556-42ef-a0fc-3e82326ec162/episodes/38e6d561-ac72-4476-b302-ba83ebb5b930/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=d5c86183-3556-42ef-a0fc-3e82326ec162&awEpisodeId=38e6d561-ac72-4476-b302-ba83ebb5b930&feed=LIaoLB9Y

7 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 65.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So my number one edge is Ruben Bayne out of Miami, and I have first round grades on Reuben Bain, David Bailey out of Texas Tech, and Malachi Lawrence out of Central Florida.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Derek Moore to be picked “day three grade, probably later in the fourth round” (picks 101–140)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Derek Moore
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Akheem Mesidor to be picked “late first, early second round” (picks 1–64)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Romello Height to be picked “fourth round type prospect” (picks 101–140)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Romello Height
  - Verdict: scored 26.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Malachi Lawrence to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malachi Lawrence
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **So my number one edge is Ruben Bayne out of Miami, and I have first round grades on Reuben Bain, David Bailey out of Texas Tech, and Malachi Lawrence out of Central Florida... In terms of late first, early second round, I have Keldrick Falk out of Auburn and then Akeem Mesador out of Miami. Second round grades, Gabe Yakis or Aches out of Illinois... Zion Young out of Missouri, Cassius Howell out of Texas a and m, our Mason Thomas out of Oklahoma, TJ Parker out of Clemson... a late two early three on Deshaun Barham out of Michigan... third round grade out of Kieran Crawford out of Auburn and Joshua Joseph's out of Tennessee. Fourth round grades on Romello Height and Derek Moore... a late fourth, early fifth on Danny Dennis Sutton out of Penn State, and then a fifth round grade out of l on LT Overton out of Alabama.**
  - Kind: Top Player Lists
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zion Young to be picked “day two grade”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Zion Young
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Derek Moore — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/derek-moore
- Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Romello Height — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/romello-height
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Malachi Lawrence — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/malachi-lawrence
- Zion Young — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/zion-young

## What others said about the same people

- Tyler DeSena on Kevin Coleman: DeSena expects Chris Bell to function as Miami's X-receiver, with Caleb Douglas as the deep-threat Z and Malik Washington in the slot, and considers Bell, Douglas, Washington and fifth-round rookie Kevin Coleman locks to make the 53-man roster. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cdf88974-3b99-4342-b7eb-bcf15f82379c (scored 100)
- Alain Poupart on Keith Cooper Jr.: Poupart's third 53-man roster projection of 2026 for the Dolphins names which players make the roster and which are cut at each position group. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/af1013eb-d6fa-476c-b1d9-bc977dff22a5 (scored 0)
- Mike Moraitis on Andre Jones Jr.: Moraitis expects Andre Jones Jr. to hold a spot on Miami's 53-man roster after being signed off Buffalo's practice squad, with a significant special teams role under coordinator Chris Tabor. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/aada599b-129d-4866-bc24-0562e28b735c (scored 100)
- Alain Poupart on Jalen Tolbert: Previewing the Dolphins' preseason finale and roster cutdown, Poupart states Malik Willis is locked in as the starting quarterback, Mark Gronowski is effectively gone, and identifies Greg Dulcich and Will Kacmarek as the only certainties at tight end while treating several receivers as settled roster locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ea9d4107-0a88-42a5-8300-186c4a38bef3 (scored 100)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Malachi Lawrence: Building his projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d20c4eda-eab4-4a8c-ba13-0e120fdd7d91 (scored 100)
- Brian Peacock on Romello Height: Peacock lays out his projected 53-man roster for the 49ers, position by position: three specialists, three quarterbacks (including Curtis Rourke), five running backs, six receivers (cutting Christian Kirk), three tight ends (cutting Braden Willis), nine offensive linemen, ten defensive linemen (with Mykel Williams on PUP), five linebackers, six cornerbacks and four safeties. He also predicts a new player will take center snaps in preseason week three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/62e9aad7-105c-45a0-95b3-3b43b64603ae (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)
- Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

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