# Pat Fitzmaurice: Fitzmaurice fades Rico Dowdle at his RB32/86th-overall ADP, believing Jaylen Warren will be Pittsburgh's primary back, and calls Trey McBride a landmine at his top-20 ADP due to expected target and touchdown regression. **Claimed:** Sep 4, 2026 **Pundit:** Pat Fitzmaurice — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice **Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fantasypros **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/09/7-fantasy-football-draft-landmines-experts-avoid-2026/ 3 checkable claims — 2 fantasy bust calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record. None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > Warren is the better bet to serve as Pittsburgh’s primary running back, leaving Dowdle at risk of handling a smaller role than many fantasy managers expect. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (a top-20 ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jaylen Warren to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Rico Dowdle to fall short of his draft cost (the RB32 and 86th overall)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rico Dowdle, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Trey McBride — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/trey-mcbride - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Jaylen Warren — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jaylen-warren - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Rico Dowdle — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rico-dowdle ## What others said about the same people - Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0) - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100) - Jason McIntyre on Aaron Rodgers: McIntyre liked Cowherd's card, flagged the Jets and Chargers as potential upsets/strong teams, said the Chargers could reach the AFC Championship game, and declared Aaron Rodgers will miss the playoffs this year and retire in the offseason. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fc0c43b5-a4a3-4dc1-829b-f07a813854f2 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Kyler Murray: In part two of his gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/252a575e-6524-48d2-86c4-356e2509e8f5 (scored 0) - Tom Pelissero on Aaron Rodgers: Pelissero says it wouldn't shock him if Shedeur Sanders is part of an open quarterback competition in Cleveland heading into training camp, expects Cam Ward to be the Titans' starter by the preseason, and suggests that if Aaron Rodgers plays poorly the Steelers could hold a top-15 pick in the 2026 draft and target a quarterback. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/09766ec1-0261-470d-9bae-bd9ddbf816cf (scored 100) - Will Blackmon on Aaron Rodgers: Blackmon believes Aaron Rodgers will either sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers or retire, and ultimately expects Pittsburgh to be where he lands because that is where he feels most respected. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1ea61fb1-df82-4f2f-a150-6330ddacd4dd (scored 100) ## More fantasy bust calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wormeli on Zay Flowers: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 0) - Derek Brown on Zay Flowers: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 0) - Chris Welsh on Austin Ekeler: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Joe Pisapia on Rashee Rice: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) - Derek Brown on Chuba Hubbard: Derek Brown ("Deebro") names three busts to avoid in 2025 fantasy drafts: Kyren Williams at an RB1 price, Chuba Hubbard as a top-20 RB, and Xavier Worthy as his ultimate bust, arguing Rashee Rice is the clear No. 1 receiver in Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9cc5c06e-e0c5-45bd-8b93-fa089f8673a8 (scored 100) - Simon Hunter on Tetairoa McMillan: Simon is drafting Ashton Jeanty in the late first/early second and is comfortable taking him in the first round, is all-in on DeVonta Adams with the Rams, and calls Puka Nacua one of the most overdrafted players who should not be taken in the first round. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/15f74c4e-cd8f-455b-b84f-e4098e767a84 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=pat-fitzmaurice