# Bobby Skinner: Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates he had listed.

**Claimed:** Mar 6, 2025
**Pundit:** Bobby Skinner — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/bobby-skinner
**Outlet:** The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-dan-patrick-show-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/football-today-jomboy-media/nfl-free-agency-predictions

14 checkable claims — 12 trade and signing calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

10 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 34.5 out of 100, against 37.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Daniel Jones is going to the Indianapolis Colts with the first pick

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Khalil Mack to move to Chicago Bears**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Khalil Mack, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Haason Reddick to move to Washington Commanders**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Haason Reddick, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Darius Slayton to move to Los Angeles Chargers**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Darius Slayton, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Davante Adams to move to New York Giants**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Davante Adams, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Aaron Rodgers to move to New York Giants**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Aaron Rodgers, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **D.J. Reed to move to Arizona Cardinals**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: D.J. Reed, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Milton Williams to move to New England Patriots**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Milton Williams, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Josh Downs to record 80 receptions**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 45 out of 100, against 71.82 for a naive guess
- **Justin Fields to move to Pittsburgh Steelers**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Justin Fields, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Stefon Diggs to move to Houston Texans**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Stefon Diggs, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Lavonte David to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Lavonte David, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jevon Holland to move**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jevon Holland
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Khalil Mack — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/khalil-mack
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Haason Reddick — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/haason-reddick
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Darius Slayton — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/darius-slayton
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Davante Adams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/davante-adams
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers
- D.J. Reed — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/d-j-reed
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Milton Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/milton-williams
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-downs
- Justin Fields — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/justin-fields
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Stefon Diggs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/stefon-diggs
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Lavonte David — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/lavonte-david
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Jevon Holland — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jevon-holland

## What others said about the same people

- Jared Koch on Lewis Bond: Koch argues Kayshon Boutte is a winner in the trade to Houston, likely to see many more snaps and potentially post a career season, while Xavier Hutchinson's path to a breakout gets harder. He also sees Kamari Ramsey stepping up as the primary backup safety behind a top three of Bullock, Pitre and Blankenship, and views Jared Wayne as a fringe roster player squeezed by receivers he calls virtual locks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/14048ef2-7210-46fd-825a-b9849c144a9f (scored 100)
- Lance Zierlein on Lewis Bond: Zierlein expects Texans QB C.J. Stroud to play roughly 10-12 plays in Thursday's preseason game, with Davis Mills going to halftime and newly signed Brett Rypien playing the entire second half. He also said if Tank Dell isn't ready, Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall would both likely make the roster, and predicted Keelan Rutledge will be the starting center with Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith starting. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/20e6ff7b-1de6-4de6-9567-3997edaea6b8 (scored 100)
- Lance Zierlein on Lewis Bond: Zierlein expects Trevor Goosby, Texas' starting left tackle, to be a first-round NFL draft pick, and thinks Quinn Ewers may struggle to stay on the Dolphins' roster beyond this year. He also predicts the Texans' preseason quarterback usage: C.J. Stroud around 10-12 plays, Davis Mills through the first half, and Brett Rypien for the second half. If Tank Dell isn't ready, he thinks Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall could both make the roster. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/684f97b2-1578-404d-9e71-4026eea8db4d (scored 100)
- Bucky Brooks on Keenan Allen: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100)
- Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 0)
- Seth Walder on Kayshon Boutte: Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0263bd78-6c5c-41c5-8615-0467d8ef521a (scored 0)

## More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 0)
- Diante Lee on A.J. Brown: A Ringer post-draft power ranking of all 32 teams for the 2026 season, ranked by how much the writer would trust each team to win the Super Bowl, with Denver picked to win the AFC, Detroit projected among the NFC's four best, and win-total calls on Pittsburgh and Miami. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d8c102e3-a8d3-4d06-bd90-4b7db78d2fa0 (scored 100)
- Fernando Alfaro-Donis on Kayshon Boutte: Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b988191f-a153-4f4b-a1b8-7b5a7a18265c (scored 0)
- Scott Bogman on A.J. Brown: Bogman laid out fades on Malik Nabers (knee), Kenneth Walker, Bhayshul Tuten, Christian Watson, Jackson Dart and Sam LaPorta, while liking Isaiah Likely and staying more positive on DJ Moore; he also gave his top-seven tight end board and expected Tuten to lead Jacksonville's backfield. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/00bcda68-4f13-404c-8d31-b6f6d82e94f8 (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on A.J. Brown: Eisen delivered his SoFi-presented power rankings of the 2026 NFL draftees most likely to live up to their billing, counting down from Mekhi Lemmon at No. 10 to Jeremiah Love at No. 1. He also predicted the Eagles will trade A.J. Brown and picked three NFC South teams to go over their win totals. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/44917560-fe2f-453a-a274-edd5059b1c1c (scored 100)
- Chris Brockman on A.J. Brown: Brockman argued the Rams wasted the No. 13 pick on quarterback Ty Simpson and will regret passing on Reuben Bain or Mekhi Lemmon; he also predicted the Eagles trade A.J. Brown after June 1, that Drew Allar will start the most games at QB for the Steelers, that the Browns finish no worse than second in the AFC North, that the Saints avoid picking in the top half of the 2027 draft, that Jeremiah Love leads the NFL in rushing as a rookie, and that the Giants will have the league's most ferocious pass rush in 2026. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4296f93c-d982-4466-b24d-8397ba0a6301 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=bobby-skinner
