# Derek Brown: Brown is out on Kyren Williams, Aaron Jones and DeAndre Swift while targeting R.J. Harvey, Trevion Henderson, Kenneth Walker, Bucky Irving, Tony Pollard, Kaleb Johnson, Cam Skattebo, Jarquez Hunter, Rishard Smith, MarShawn Lloyd and Javonte Williams as guys who beat their current cost. **Claimed:** May 31, 2025 **Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/derek-brown **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/will-saquon-barkley-bust-the-top-50-running-backs-for-the-2025-season-ep-1580 10 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 2 depth chart calls and 1 fantasy bust call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 8 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 72.9 out of 100, against 49 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I've got RJ. Harvey is locked in top fifteen back this year. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Javonte Williams, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (RB ninety one)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brashard Smith, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kaleb Johnson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kaleb Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty three)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: RJ Harvey, Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (RB twenty two)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Aaron Jones, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty four)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kaleb Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tony Pollard, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: MarShawn Lloyd, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jarquez Hunter to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jarquez Hunter, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Javonte Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/javonte-williams - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Brashard Smith — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brashard-smith - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Kaleb Johnson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kaleb-johnson - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers - RJ Harvey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rj-harvey - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Tony Pollard — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tony-pollard - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans - MarShawn Lloyd — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/marshawn-lloyd - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers - Jarquez Hunter — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jarquez-hunter - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams ## What others said about the same people - Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on A.J. Brown: Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f6c3a28-18bb-4f4d-beb5-061d863b4e28 (scored 100) - Jason McIntyre on Baker Mayfield: Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3fa10b83-c7a3-489f-a011-76f2eb991e81 (scored 0) - Brandon Carney on A.J. Brown: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 100) - Jeremy White on A.J. Brown: Jeremy White expects the Patriots to acquire AJ Brown, calling the trade likely inevitable within about a month. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a8701720-01eb-4a29-8bf1-5a8555f0d1ed (scored 100) - Chris Brockman on A.J. Brown: Brockman predicted only Stafford and Josh Allen of last year's MVP vote-getters get votes again, Fernando Mendoza starts and wins Rookie of the Year, the Colts win the AFC South, AJ Brown is traded to New England leaving DeVonta Smith as Philadelphia's clear No. 1 and a breakout star, five running backs top 1,600 yards, George Pickens breaks a Cowboys receiving record, and Justin Fields starts for Kansas City in September. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2307f474-6a3d-405e-b048-7b023ffda1be (scored 100) ## More sleeper calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100) - Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100) - Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) - Ryan Wormeli on Tetairoa McMillan: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=derek-brown