# Andrew Erickson: Erickson is bearish on Josh Jacobs as a league-winning pick inside the top-50 given age, wear-and-tear and suspension risk, though he still expects Jacobs to lead the Packers backfield while MarShawn Lloyd carves out a role.

**Claimed:** Aug 28, 2026
**Pundit:** Andrew Erickson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andrew-erickson
**Outlet:** FantasyPros — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fantasypros
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.fantasypros.com/2026/08/fantasy-football-outlook-josh-jacobs-marshawn-lloyd-2026/

4 checkable claims — 3 depth chart calls and 1 fantasy bust call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 2.

> Inside the top-50, I'm looking elsewhere.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (Inside the top-50)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Jacobs to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jordan Morgan to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jordan Morgan, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **MarShawn Lloyd to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: MarShawn Lloyd, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Josh Jacobs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/josh-jacobs
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Jordan Morgan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordan-morgan
- MarShawn Lloyd — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/marshawn-lloyd

## What others said about the same people

- Jacob Westendorf on Green Bay Packers: Westendorf picks the Packers to win the opener 27-21, with Tucker Kraft leading the team in catches, Christian Watson in yards, Jayden Reed in touchdowns and Josh Jacobs in rushing. He tabs Bo Nix as MVP, the Broncos as the AFC's top team and Super Bowl winner over the Rams, the Lions to win the NFC North, and the Packers to finish 8-9. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74732492-951c-4bdd-9047-b9c9b08265d6 (scored 23.81)
- AJ Hawk on Green Bay Packers: AJ Hawk picked the Ravens over the Colts, Carolina to beat Chicago outright, the Bills at Houston, the Bengals over Tampa Bay, the Titans over the Jets, the Raiders over Miami, the Packers at Minnesota and the Cowboys over the Giants. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74f9146c-d27f-4851-b8a4-4103d043308f (scored 0)
- Kirk Herbstreit on Green Bay Packers: Herbstreit made a full slate of Week 1 picks — Lions, Ravens, Bears, Bills, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Titans, Eagles, Packers and Cowboys — and also said he still thinks Seattle is the team to beat in the NFC West. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5bc3755c-9b84-484f-b8f2-b18d51a12261 (scored 0)
- Pat McAfee on Green Bay Packers: In the show's weekly picks segment Pat took the Steelers at home over Atlanta, the Jaguars over Cleveland, the Raiders over Miami, the Packers at Minnesota and the Cowboys over the Giants. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d72ee420-9220-402c-9a25-44bc6ed8c477 (scored 0)
- Jared Dubin on Green Bay Packers: Dubin picked the Texans to beat the Bills 20-17 and the Packers to win on the road at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3a9aea65-224c-4050-947f-0a4acab886c3 (scored 0)
- Brandon Sneide on Green Bay Packers: Snyder picked Matthew Golden as the Packers' offensive player of the year and Edron (Edgerrin) Cooper as defensive player of the year, predicting Cooper makes All-Pro, and forecast a 27-24 Green Bay win in Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e74e8a9-a501-4a32-9b38-7f98b922415d (scored 16.67)

## More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0)
- Ralph Vacchiano on Tua Tagovailoa: Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6f782be9-64d3-47cf-b054-6566e14194d6 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Michael Penix Jr.: In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/968b3764-11ef-41b5-a370-ff570b3219d1 (scored 0)
- Mike Florio on Shedeur Sanders: Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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