# Nick Wright: Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots.

**Claimed:** Apr 20, 2026
**Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright
**Outlet:** First Things First (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/FOXM3497701450.mp3?updated=1776726665

35 checkable claims — 32 mock draft picks, 2 position order calls and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 56 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

33 of 35 have settled so far, averaging 69.6 out of 100, against 47.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> Mendoza number one of the Raiders we all know.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Carnell Tate to be 1st receiver off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 9.48 for a naive guess
- **Mansoor Delane to be 1st corner off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Mansoor Delane, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 12.64 for a naive guess
- **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 31**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor
  - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Blake Miller to be picked at number 24**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Omar Cooper to be picked at number 16**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Omar Cooper, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arbel Ruiz to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arbel Ruiz, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 28**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Iheanachor, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 2.12 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 19**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 59.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 15**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **C.J. Allen to be picked at number 20**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Allen, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 23.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 22**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 47.88 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cade McDonald to be picked at number 26**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cade McDonald, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 9**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 29**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Avieon Terrell, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **T.J. Parker to be picked at number 32**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 21**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: K.C. Concepcion, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 25**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 23.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **A.J. Brown to finish top 5 at his position, by receiving yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francisco Mauigoa, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor
- Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/blake-miller
- Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/giants
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Omar Cooper — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/omar-cooper
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Arbel Ruiz — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/arbel-ruiz
- Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Max Iheanachor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/max-iheanachor
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- C.J. Allen — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/c-j-allen
- Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson
- Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Avieon Terrell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/avieon-terrell
- T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker
- Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain
- K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Francisco Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/francisco-mauigoa
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cardinals

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Brockman on Baker Mayfield: Brockman's season-preview overreactions: Fernando Mendoza becomes an Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist; Dak Prescott wins MVP and the Cowboys win the Super Bowl; Jesse Minter's Ravens win the AFC North; C.J. Stroud leads Houston to the AFC's No. 1 seed; Jonathan Taylor approaches 2,000 rushing yards; Baker Mayfield wins the NFC South, goes 12-5 and reaches the NFC title game while landing a $60 million-per-year deal; and Aaron Rodgers throws 35-plus touchdowns as the Steelers go 11-6 and win the North. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d508736e-a824-4fa0-854c-df4ebdd9ef02 (scored 100)
- Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Kyler Murray: Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d (scored 100)
- Jon Gruden on Baker Mayfield: The former Buccaneers head coach predicted that Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield are closer on a new contract than believed and that an extension will get done. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10bb8ff2-886c-488e-b693-fb4ea9dd5880 (scored 100)
- Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Rob Rang on Jeremiah Smith: Rang ranks the four headline prospects from the Texas-Ohio State game in the order he'd draft them (Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Cam Coleman, Julian Sayin) and assigns each a draft grade: Smith and Manning as top-5 picks, Coleman top 10, and Sayin a third-rounder. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cd619cef-1878-4067-9021-a5ec734d35ed (scored 0)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Brandon Doughty: Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus he expects Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/16ab5f5d-0f01-48ee-a1df-63c1b1996dc3 (scored 2.63)
- Peter Bukowski on Gennings Dunker: Bukowski breaks down Iowa offensive lineman Jennings Dunker as a Packers fit and puts a late second-/early third-round grade on him, noting that range overlaps where Green Bay picks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f77d920f-e5fe-4684-83b6-9105b6304d5b (scored 100)
- Brian Peacock on Bud Clark: In his final 2026 mock draft for the 49ers, Peacock projects San Francisco taking WR Kevin Concepcion (KC) at pick 27, then after trading out of round two, edge rusher Kieron Crawford and safety Bud Clark in round three, OL Trey Zune and RB Jonah Coleman in round four, CB Charles Demings in round five and guard Caden Barnett in round six. He also thinks Omar Cooper comes off the board before Concepcion. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cc1842ef-bbb3-49c0-ad24-ec5db753c59b (scored 95.76)
- Damian Parson on Zachariah Branch: Locked On's draft analyst laid out where several prospects should land in the upcoming draft: Zachariah Branch as a Day 2/third-round target for the Chargers, Penn State's top offensive lineman gone well before pick 22 (ideally 14 to Baltimore), Akeem Mesador and Malachi Lawrence as first-round edge rushers, Derrick Moore as a Day 2 edge, and Texas's left tackle as a top-10 pick next year. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b352f2ad-cf9f-4086-8229-68786b3029cf (scored 100)
- Ollie Connolly on Kyle Louis: Connelly assesses the 2026 draft class: he sees Jeremiah Love as a top-ten most productive player at running back with an Ezekiel Elliott-to-Bijan/McCaffrey range, projects Fernando Mendoza as a top-8-to-12 starting QB in the league, pegs Ty Simpson as a top-of-the-second-round pick he'd only be comfortable taking in the third, and slots various tight ends and late running backs into specific rounds. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/451a3983-ef51-4051-988d-6842523d646b (scored 19.28)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright
