# Jake Ciely: Seely sees Egbuka as a fringe WR1/2, agrees on fading Rashee Rice, pegs Ashton Jeanty as only a back-end RB1, is bullish on Harold Fannin Jr. (81 catches, ranked behind LaPorta but ahead of Pitts), views Tyler Shough as a QB2 with roughly 3,700-3,800 passing yards, loves Quentin Johnston (approaching 900 yards and nine TDs), has Javonte Williams as RB13, and projects Carnell Tate for over 1,000 yards and six scores.

**Claimed:** Aug 8, 2026
**Pundit:** Jake Ciely — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jake-ciely
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/8-players-fantasy-football-projections-love-draft-values-for-2026-ep-2116

15 checkable claims — 7 player season numbers, 4 positional finishes, 2 sleeper calls, 1 fantasy bust call and 1 fantasy ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 3.

> I am in on Quinton Johnston. I have him higher. I have him over eight hundred yards ... approaching nine hundred yards, and I have him approaching nine touchdowns.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty two ADP overall one oh six)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **I go laporta fan and pits**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (tight end, five in ADP overall sixty four)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Harold Fannin Jr., Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Carnell Tate to record 6 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Carnell Tate, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Ashton Jeanty to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyler Shough to record ? rushing yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Carnell Tate to record 1,000 receiving yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Carnell Tate, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Harold Fannin Jr. to record 81 receptions**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Harold Fannin Jr., Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyler Shough to record 3,800 passing yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Emeka Egbuka to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Emeka Egbuka, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP Wide Receiver eleven ... overall ADP twenty nine)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Javonte Williams to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Javonte Williams, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Quentin Johnston to record 900 receiving yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Quentin Johnston to record 9 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyler Shough to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Quentin Johnston — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/quentin-johnston
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Harold Fannin Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/harold-fannin-jr
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Ashton Jeanty — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Tyler Shough — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/tyler-shough
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Emeka Egbuka — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/emeka-egbuka
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Javonte Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/javonte-williams
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Brockman on Baker Mayfield: Brockman's season-preview overreactions: Fernando Mendoza becomes an Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist; Dak Prescott wins MVP and the Cowboys win the Super Bowl; Jesse Minter's Ravens win the AFC North; C.J. Stroud leads Houston to the AFC's No. 1 seed; Jonathan Taylor approaches 2,000 rushing yards; Baker Mayfield wins the NFC South, goes 12-5 and reaches the NFC title game while landing a $60 million-per-year deal; and Aaron Rodgers throws 35-plus touchdowns as the Steelers go 11-6 and win the North. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d508736e-a824-4fa0-854c-df4ebdd9ef02 (scored 100)
- Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 100)
- Jon Gruden on Baker Mayfield: The former Buccaneers head coach predicted that Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield are closer on a new contract than believed and that an extension will get done. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10bb8ff2-886c-488e-b693-fb4ea9dd5880 (scored 100)
- Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 100)
- Mike Florio on Shedeur Sanders: Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a (scored 0)
- Paul Keren on Teven Jenkins: Keren says Teven Jenkins still projects as Cleveland's Week 1 starting right guard despite a push from KT Leveston, and that Carson Schwesinger and Quincy Williams will be the Browns' lead linebackers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/86b36112-724c-4f9c-a4fd-cf74a38be8e4 (scored 0)

## More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Broussard on Lamar Jackson: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 0)
- Shannon Sharpe on T.J. Watt: On a Bengals-Steelers matchup, Sharpe took the over on several player props: Ja'Marr Chase over 74.5 receiving yards, Joe Flacco over 36.5 pass attempts, and T.J. Watt over 3.5 tackles+assists, adding that Watt will get two sacks. He also predicted Rico Dowdle would make the Pro Bowl this season. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1fbc5b8e-7449-41f4-a5a2-7029cc4ef65e (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Nick Emmanwori: Jeremiah walked through his mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. He also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c5de01a8-6e40-436d-9e04-07e1d39e54ae (scored 0)
- Joe Marino on Kyle Pitts: Marino argued Kyle Pitts deserves more respect after a good season and expects his touchdown total to keep rising, landing on six touchdowns next season (following the pattern of his yearly totals). — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/73dfb52d-5f75-423d-ac98-c593c1f09e76 (scored 66.67)
- Tim Hasselbeck on Isaiah Likely: Hasselbeck expects Kyler Murray to be released by Arizona, believes Malik Willis will sign somewhere as the anointed opening-day starter, and thinks Isaiah Likely can be a true No. 1 tight end who would catch over 75 passes with close to seven touchdowns as a full-season starter. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f427a6b0-2fb5-4887-90e3-a02973258757 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=jake-ciely
