# Joe Dolan: Dolan sees no fantasy value in Darren Waller's return with Miami (projecting him as roughly TE33), but loves Devon Achane's passing-game upside with Jonnu Smith gone, Rashee Rice as a discounted target hog who leads the Chiefs in targets, Kenneth Walker as a bell-cow at a cheap price, Jordan Addison as badly underpriced, Darnell Mooney as too cheap, Isaiah Likely as a late-round breakout, and Devaughn Vele as the Broncos' starting slot man. **Claimed:** Jul 5, 2025 **Pundit:** Joe Dolan — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-dolan **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/12-draft-picks-with-massive-upside-you-should-be-targeting-in-2025-ep-1603 10 checkable claims — 6 sleeper calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 depth chart call and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 10 have settled, averaging 35 out of 100, against 54.8 for a naive guess at the same calls. > We ran our projections at Fantasy Points immediately after the trade and he came out as tight end thirty three. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (ECR wide receiver forty nine)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Darnell Mooney, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Rashee Rice to outplay his draft cost (ECR Wide Receiver nineteen)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jordan Addison to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five by expert consensus ranking)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jordan Addison, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (expert Consensus RB six he's going in the second round)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: De'Von Achane, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (drafted around tight end twenty one)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Isaiah Likely, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (drafted in like the fifth sixth round)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Isaiah Likely to record 60 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Isaiah Likely, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 64.42 for a naive guess - **Rashee Rice to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess - **Rashee Rice to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Darren Waller to finish top 33 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Darren Waller, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Darnell Mooney — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/darnell-mooney - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Jordan Addison — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordan-addison - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - De'Von Achane — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/de-von-achane - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Isaiah Likely — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/isaiah-likely - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Darren Waller — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/darren-waller ## What others said about the same people - Trevor Ripley on Dillon Bell: Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/529718b4-3310-4bc4-949a-09c9600f3c48 (scored 0) - Jason La Canfora on Gerad Lichtenhan: La Canfora predicts the Ravens will keep several young players on their practice squad — DL Kaimon Rucker, LB Dominic DeLuca, LB Ethan Burke, CB Amani Oruwariye, OT Gerad Lichtenhan and QB Joe Fagnano — and expects the team to make at least one trade from its surplus of cornerbacks. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6d42cee5-8b2d-4c78-a41b-ed2daab90019 (scored 0) - Nick Shook on Olaivavega Ioane: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 35.36) - Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52) - Tom Strachan on Romeo Doubs: Tom Strachan offered his own 2026 free-agent landing spots, sending Aaron Rodgers to Arizona, Malik Willis to Pittsburgh, Alec Pierce to Seattle, Mike Evans to Baltimore, Deebo Samuel to Carolina, Kenneth Walker to Houston, Breece Hall to Washington, Kyle Pitts to Philadelphia and Dallas Goedert to Miami, while keeping Daniel Jones and Javonte Williams with their current teams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a2a76815-df1b-4172-82e1-969b3eaabb43 (scored 0) - Tom Pelissero on Adam Thielen: Pelissero doubted Micah Parsons would ultimately sit out, said the most logical outcome is Parsons showing up and playing out his contract, and pegged his eventual deal in the $45 million-per-year range; he also predicted the Vikings' week one starter opposite Justin Jefferson is not currently on their roster, floating Adam Thielen as a target, and said Justin Jefferson will be good to go for week one. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a7185069-741c-4dc1-b7c3-09775ddb0c32 (scored 100) ## More sleeper calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100) - Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100) - Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100) - Joe Pisapia on RJ Harvey: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=joe-dolan