# Lance Zierlein: Zierlein expected Nico Collins to sit out with his injury, and said that despite the tough matchup he had already submitted the Texans as his pick over Cincinnati.

**Claimed:** Sep 18, 2026
**Pundit:** Lance Zierlein — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/lance-zierlein
**Outlet:** John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/john-and-lance-espn-houston-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/audioboom.com/posts/8954396.mp3?modified=1789751395&sid=4936948&source=rss

2 checkable claims — 1 availability call and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Nico Collins, we'll find out if he's playing. The answer is probably gonna be a no.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Houston Texans to beat Bengals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Nico Collins, we'll find out if he's playing. The answer is probably gonna be a no. He didn't participate yesterday. Unlikely to participate.**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Nico Collins, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Nico Collins — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/nico-collins

## What others said about the same people

- Colin Cowherd on Houston Texans: Cowherd repeats his claim that Caleb Williams will be viewed as a top four or five quarterback by the end of the season, restates his preseason pick of the Ravens to win their division, and expects a angry Houston defense to beat Cincinnati on Sunday. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e43d4655-1b30-4892-a8ee-3cfe6bf29dba (scored 0)
- Chris Broussard on Houston Texans: Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a54915e0-49e6-427b-a7a5-4feb5d0f3cbb (scored 0)
- Greg Jennings on Houston Texans: Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/420d3e29-6224-43a2-8d68-b15c864838cd (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Houston Texans: Wright stuck by his preseason call of a 12-5 Bills team that wins its division, picked the Jaguars to beat Denver outright, leaned Texans over Cincinnati, still has Atlanta as his deep sleeper, counts New England among his 14 playoff teams, and recalled pegging Washington for a 5-12 or 6-11 year with a bottom-six defense. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d9357a30-3f1d-4be4-8ce6-529f21f9aeac (scored 0)
- John Granato on Houston Texans: Despite the Texans' injuries at wide receiver, he picked Houston to beat Cincinnati in their upcoming game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9d9f9b6b-94a8-48dc-aa1b-e2549b84a2eb (scored 0)
- John Granato on Houston Texans: Granato stuck with Houston to beat Cincinnati, saying he stays with his team even at its darkest. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/393e48f2-e8b5-4d41-9a77-36454d9c3829 (scored 0)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Michael Hanich on Seattle Seahawks: Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/735e7874-81a3-4bde-8c8f-d718cadf6e33 (scored 100)
- Seth Walder on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/61d68b2a-468b-44a5-b949-a6b152bbafc0 (scored 100)
- Eric Moody on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8781a68b-56d0-4cd0-bf58-b7791e174082 (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Carolina Panthers: Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/738530b5-6f35-4dc3-95f4-716358983f8a (scored 100)
- John Middlekauff on Philadelphia Eagles: In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b74ac24-5cde-4063-b243-78341ac76343 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Carolina Panthers: Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0290838b-8539-4133-bb24-a8c3a617bbd3 (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=lance-zierlein
