# Ryan Wormeli: Warmley expects Derrick Henry to post another huge rushing season in Baltimore, sees real upside in Brian Robinson Jr. as Washington's lead back, and calls Javonte Williams, Justice Hill, Jordan Mason and Bijan Robinson values at their current costs. **Claimed:** May 31, 2025 **Pundit:** Ryan Wormeli — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ryan-wormeli **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/will-saquon-barkley-bust-the-top-50-running-backs-for-the-2025-season-ep-1580 8 checkable claims — 4 player season numbers and 4 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 8 have settled, averaging 54.8 out of 100, against 26.1 for a naive guess at the same calls. > if he's healthy this year, he's scoring another twelve touchdowns, He's getting fifteen hundred rushing yards in a healthy season *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Bijan Robinson to outplay his draft cost (third or fourth pick)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Justice Hill to outplay his draft cost (RB sixty six)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Justice Hill, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Javonte Williams, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (outside the top forty running backs)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jordan Mason, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Brian Robinson to record 12 rushing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Brian Robinson, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Brian Robinson to record 1,200 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Brian Robinson, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 35.85 for a naive guess - **Derrick Henry to record 12 rushing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 28.96 for a naive guess - **Derrick Henry to record 1,500 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 88.09 out of 100, against 44.19 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Bijan Robinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Justice Hill — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/justice-hill - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Javonte Williams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/javonte-williams - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Jordan Mason — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/jordan-mason - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Brian Robinson — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brian-robinson - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Derrick Henry — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/derrick-henry ## What others said about the same people - Mike Moraitis on DaRon Bland: Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/66b5ed7b-41bd-4f67-9b4d-16eae4675e67 (scored 0) - Seth Walder on Kayshon Boutte: Walder proposes five trades he believes should happen before Week 1 of the 2026 season: Jessie Bates III to the 49ers, Kayvon Thibodeaux to the Patriots, Keon Coleman to the Colts, Walker Little to the Cardinals, and Kayshon Boutte to the Commanders, where he says Boutte would immediately be Washington's No. 2 receiver. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0263bd78-6c5c-41c5-8615-0467d8ef521a (scored 0) - Garrett Podell on Stefon Diggs: A CBS Sports report frames Stefon Diggs as filling Washington's vacant No. 2 receiver role opposite Terry McLaurin after his reported one-year deal, expecting him in that spot in the 2026 passing game with Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bc79861b-dbde-474e-9d55-bf50f7b766d2 (scored 100) - Bucky Brooks on Stefon Diggs: In a quarterback rapid-fire segment and later discussion, Brooks named starters for several clubs (Kyler Murray over JJ McCarthy in Minnesota, Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland, Tua in Atlanta, Jeremiah Love as Arizona's starting running back), called Chris Olave a No. 1 receiver, backed Stefon Diggs landing with the Commanders and Aaron Donald returning to the Rams, argued Baker Mayfield belongs among the top 15-17 quarterbacks, and published a top-five defensive tackle list topped by Jeffrey Simmons. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9538b827-fc12-4c2e-8e32-eaa69edc6c2d (scored 100) - Joe Marino on Stefon Diggs: Marino projects DJ Moore to bounce back in Buffalo's offense with over 1,000 receiving yards (talking up around 1,200), and expects rookie cornerback Davison Igbinosun (IGB) to win a starting job opposite Christian Benford. He also thinks free agent Stefon Diggs ends up signing with Washington. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/eef9205a-1efb-4b83-821d-a7553d3ad6b4 (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on Stefon Diggs: Rosenthal picked rookies he expects to start right away — a Steelers left tackle and Colts linebacker — said Terry McLaurin is Washington's clear No. 1 receiver, and said he wouldn't be surprised if the Commanders signed Stefon Diggs as a solid No. 2. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2ea758f8-ab4d-4480-aaf9-ab24fd822c3f (scored 100) ## More sleeper calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100) - Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100) - Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0) - Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) - Jake Ciely on Braelon Allen: Counting down his top-five middle/late-round breakout candidates, Seely picked Bryce Young, Cedric Tillman, Braelon Allen, Marvin Mims and Rome Odunze, arguing Young can be a fringe QB1 with added rushing, Tillman and Mims are their teams' No. 2 receivers, and Caleb Williams will post a huge statistical season that lifts Odunze. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b5a40bc-e349-48a1-ad37-18ee448ebe75 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=ryan-wormeli