# Shannon Sharpe: Sharpe predicted Matthew Stafford would throw four touchdowns in the Thursday night game against the 49ers, picked Tampa Bay to beat Cincinnati at home, took the Broncos over Kansas City on Monday night with Bonitto getting 2.5 sacks, and expects big fantasy value from kicker Brandon Aubrey.

**Claimed:** Sep 11, 2026
**Pundit:** Shannon Sharpe — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/shannon-sharpe
**Outlet:** Nightcap (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/nightcap-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/clrtpod.com/m/pscrb.fm/rss/p/prfx.byspotify.com/e/pscrb.fm/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/28/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/6ced0da2-f257-4234-bf7c-b07601488685/f3c5e787-5478-4f5f-a558-b4c20006513e/audio.mp3?in_playlist=99f1543b-ae3c-4f45-90f2-b076014995d9

5 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 2 player season numbers and 1 sleeper call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> Matthew Stafford is going to get me off to a great start tonight when he throws for four touchdowns.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Denver Broncos to win**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Matthew Stafford to record 4 passing tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Brandon Aubrey to outplay his draft cost**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brandon Aubrey
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Bo Nix to record 2.5 sacks**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Bo Nix, Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Matthew Stafford — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/matthew-stafford
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Brandon Aubrey — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/brandon-aubrey
- Bo Nix — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/bo-nix

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Brockman on Baker Mayfield: Brockman's season-preview overreactions: Fernando Mendoza becomes an Offensive Rookie of the Year finalist; Dak Prescott wins MVP and the Cowboys win the Super Bowl; Jesse Minter's Ravens win the AFC North; C.J. Stroud leads Houston to the AFC's No. 1 seed; Jonathan Taylor approaches 2,000 rushing yards; Baker Mayfield wins the NFC South, goes 12-5 and reaches the NFC title game while landing a $60 million-per-year deal; and Aaron Rodgers throws 35-plus touchdowns as the Steelers go 11-6 and win the North. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d508736e-a824-4fa0-854c-df4ebdd9ef02 (scored 100)
- Jon Gruden on Baker Mayfield: The former Buccaneers head coach predicted that Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield are closer on a new contract than believed and that an extension will get done. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/10bb8ff2-886c-488e-b693-fb4ea9dd5880 (scored 100)
- Joel Corry on Baker Mayfield: The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a840ff4-f1e5-48ca-bec6-ba41e9ef2396 (scored 100)
- Danny Parkins on Trey Hendrickson: Parkins predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall to the Raiders, Trey Hendrickson signs in Tampa, Michael Penix Jr. wins Atlanta's QB competition, Jared Wilson takes over at center in New England, Mike Evans reaches 1,000 yards, and the Bears lose Byard and Brisker. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ca8ddcc3-733b-4a44-92b9-b90577e59c9c (scored 0)
- Jared Dubin on Denver Broncos: Dubin picks Denver to win narrowly in Kansas City, 21-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b4339e96-6ced-44c2-88e9-b490d027df7b (scored 2.38)
- Tyler Sullivan on Denver Broncos: Sullivan picks Denver to beat Kansas City 24-20. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d8636e57-b6d8-471a-a98a-75871c7ee5bf (scored 9.52)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- John Pluym on Kansas City Chiefs: Pluym's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e7e5c159-21f2-4766-92de-857294ef51cf (scored 100)
- Matt Verderame on Kansas City Chiefs: Verderame's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e4f51f97-310d-4665-a47e-fdab93ff1fd1 (scored 100)
- Mike Kadlick on Kansas City Chiefs: Kadlick's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/934613ff-97e3-4894-a383-faa755bdfc35 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Kansas City Chiefs: Nick Wright lays out his 2026 season picks: all eight division winners, the Ravens as the AFC's No. 1 seed with 13 wins and a 6-0 start, Chiefs and Eagles in the Super Bowl with Kansas City winning, plus value picks on the Seahawks and Eagles to win the NFC. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/28eb6893-6945-42b1-970e-c8647881f733 (scored 100)
- Richard Sherman on Kansas City Chiefs: Sherman previewed the AFC, picking the Bills, Chiefs, Ravens and Texans as division winners with Denver, New England and Jacksonville as wild cards, called several individual early-season games, and predicted a big year for Travis Hunter at cornerback. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/72ff16c2-b2aa-4bf7-aad7-0cdabfa8a999 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Kansas City Chiefs: Nick Wright locked in his preseason picks: the Ravens as the AFC's No. 1 seed with 13 wins, eight division winners, Eagles/Broncos/Chiefs to make the playoffs, Eagles and Seahawks to come out of the NFC, and a Chiefs win over the Eagles in the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fce97149-84fb-4412-88c5-84a696e7905f (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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