# Ayrton Ostley: Ostley has consistently mocked Utah tackle Caleb Lomu to the 49ers at No. 27, believes Cassius Howell's short arms drop him out of the first round, and sees Derek Moore and Gabe Akas as second-round edge rushers.

**Claimed:** Apr 3, 2026
**Pundit:** Ayrton Ostley — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ayrton-ostley
**Outlet:** Locked On 49ers (podcast) — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-49ers-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/f9f75c/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/0a6076b9-74e2-4b01-846e-5cc0d0b8031c/episodes/9ba6650e-39f4-4b65-af99-73b8ce9bbb48/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=0a6076b9-74e2-4b01-846e-5cc0d0b8031c&awEpisodeId=9ba6650e-39f4-4b65-af99-73b8ce9bbb48&feed=P83yLSb_

4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 81.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So I think that once he got that arm length at the combine, I felt like he dropped firmly out of the first round.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Cashius Howell to be picked “dropped firmly out of the first round” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cashius Howell
  - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Derek Moore to be picked “round two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Derek Moore
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Gabe Akas to be picked “round two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Gabe Akas
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Cashius Howell — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/cashius-howell
- Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Derek Moore — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/derek-moore
- Gabe Akas — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/players/gabe-akas

## What others said about the same people

- Richie Bradshaw on San Francisco 49ers: Bradshaw picks the 49ers to beat the Cardinals in their Week 3 matchup, predicting a final score of 27-14 in San Francisco's favor. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/56e0c2a3-ddff-46f8-8359-2a546546a29c (scored 83.33)
- Richard Sherman on San Francisco 49ers: Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c2102f61-711d-4041-af08-065e95ccaf03 (scored 83.33)
- Colin Cowherd on San Francisco 49ers: The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") made his own Week 3 picks, including blowout wins for Seattle and San Francisco, Cincinnati 27-17, Detroit 37-13, Denver 24-21 over the Rams, and predicted Jonah Coleman takes over the Broncos' running back role. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4ccbceaa-54ca-4a2e-ad90-006f1ded0ad2 (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on San Francisco 49ers: Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 3 game, including a Bills blowout of the reeling Chargers, a Chiefs rout in Miami, a Seahawks win over a Mariota-led Washington, and the Saints beating the Raiders in their home opener. He also expects Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Jaxson Dart all to be sidelined in Week 3, with Marcus Mariota starting for Washington. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e4b11b44-d359-4027-a72c-87833f5ff6e3 (scored 90.48)
- Pete Prisco on San Francisco 49ers: Prisco picks every Week 3 game with exact scores, highlighting upsets by Tampa Bay over Minnesota and Cleveland over Carolina, and expects the Giants to rally behind Jameis Winston. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3eb02dfa-79dd-43a1-87d8-db7e5140af6c (scored 83.33)
- John Breech on San Francisco 49ers: Breech predicts the Dolphins will miss the playoffs and may go winless, and picks every Week 3 game with scores, including Texans over Colts, a Buccaneers upset of Minnesota, Ravens over Cowboys in Brazil, Saints over Raiders and Broncos over Rams. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c21157cd-927c-43dc-98a2-60f4224ba22e (scored 95.24)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)
- Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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